Heading into Week 5, the contenders and pretenders are beginning to separate themselves in college football and BetQL is your source for best bets, live sharp and public data, projections and so much more for each and every game. While NFL player props get a ton of attention week after week, there are significant edges that you can find in the college football player prop markets. Below, I’ll go through three of my favorite plays for the quarterback, running back and wide receiver positions (DraftKings odds).
Minnesota’s offense is run-first, but senior quarterback Tanner Morgan has been sensational to start the year. He’s gone 61-of-79 (77.2%) passing for 886 yards with seven touchdowns and one interception while leading the Gophers to a perfect 4-0 start. In his last outing against Michigan State on the road, Morgan was incredible, going 23-for-26 passing for 268 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions en route to a 34-7 win.
Now against Purdue, he’s in another spot to produce through the air. The Boilermakers have allowed 239.7 passing yards per game (69th out of 131 FBS teams), but 13.6 yards per completion (113th), thus opening the door for some chunk plays through the air. Minnesota’s offense will prioritize Mohamed Ibrahim and Trey Potts establishing the run as usual (and rightfully so), but this should be a big day for the Gophers’ offense as a whole.
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Wisconsin running back Braelon Allen is arguably the best running back in college football and he’s off to a predictably hot start, taking 73 carries for 497 yards (6.8 yards per carry) and six touchdowns. While the Badgers got killed by Ohio State last week, Allen still carried the ball 23 times for 165 yards and a touchdown.
As seven-point favorites, Wisconsin will rely on Allen to get going against a stingy Illinois defense. However, regardless of the opponent, it’s always a smart move to bet over Allen’s rushing yards prop and this week is no exception. This is a big number to get over, but I’m still comfortable with it.
If you like scoring, be sure to tune into this game; the 64.5-point total is no lie. This is my favorite college football player prop of the week. UCLA running back Zach Charbonnet didn’t catch a single pass in his team’s 45-17 blowout win over Colorado last week (because he didn’t need to), but was a very active pass-catcher in the other two games he’s played in. He caught five passes for 36 yards against Bowling Green and then three passes for 51 yards in a tight win over South Alabama.
As slight underdogs this week, I see the Bruins leaning on him as a receiver, not only because the Huskies have allowed 267.3 passing yards per game (92nd), but since Washington averages 3.7 sacks per game on average (5th-best). This Huskies defense had eight sacks in their last game and will likely get a lot of pressure on UCLA QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson, which could lead to him finding Charbonnet on short dump-offs to avoid going down in the backfield. I can also see designed screen passes as logical ways to scheme past this defense, so I’m all in on Charbonnet as a pass-catcher in this particular matchup.