Dave Aranda has completely turned around the Baylor program in Year 2, and has the Bears ranked for the first time since the end of the 2019 season. They have done it mostly on the ground, which is hard to believe since they were dead last in the Big-12 last year in rushing. BYU offensive coordinator Jeff Grimes was brought in and boom. He has changed everything, averaging 238 rushing yards per game, which is top-10 in the country.
Texas will have to figure out how they are going to stop this juggernaut, and they have had a few weeks to do so since they were on a bye. Head Coach Steve Sarkisian said after losing the Red River Shootout game to Oklahoma that getting to the Big 12 championship was the ultimate goal. Well, to make that happen, a 5-0 finish is a must for the Longhorns. Make no mistake, this is a must-win game for them.
#16 Baylor has gone 7-0 ATS over the last 3 seasons vs. teams that score 34+ points per game. Texas averages 41.6 points per game, so this trend is very relevant here.
That is some pretty crazy stuff, and Baylor is currently a -3 favorite on the spread line against Texas. Baylor is also 12-2 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62% or better over the last three years. Texas falls into that category as well.
Baylor is 5-2 ATS this season, and 3-0 ATS as a home favorite. With this trend and how well they have been covering lately, Baylor -3 looks like a pretty good bet.
Find out if the BetQL model is aligned! Will Baylor improve its perfect ATS mark in this situation?