Ohio State vs. Penn State Preview

Picks and predictions for Ohio State vs. Penn State in college football's Week 9

By BetMGM - Oct 28, 2022, 9:57am EDT

Ohio State vs. Penn State Preview

The Ohio State Buckeyes (7-0) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (6-1) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in University Park. Ohio State are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110). The Over/Under for Ohio State vs. Penn State is 61 total points at this time of this writing.

Ohio State Preview

Best Ohio State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Noah Cain has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)

C.J. Stroud has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 54% ROI)

C.J. Stroud has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 34% ROI)

TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 46% ROI)

C.J. Stroud has hit the Completions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)

Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receptions Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 42% ROI)

TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 36% ROI)

Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)

Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State has gone 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 0% ROI).

Ohio State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 11.3% ROI

Ohio State is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Ohio State is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State

#2 Ohio State is undefeated (8-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .373

#2 Ohio State is undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .565

#2 Ohio State is undefeated (9-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best in FBS; Average: .435

#2 Ohio State is 13-1 (.722) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .414

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

#2 Ohio State WRs have caught 19 touchdown passes this season– most among FBS Teams

Ohio State’s WRs has gained 1,671 yards on 103 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — second-best among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State has gained 1,907 yards on 130 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — second-best among Big Ten skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

#2 Ohio State RBs have averaged 6.4 Yards per Carry (3,303 yards/517 carries) since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

#2 Ohio State QBs have 100 completions for 20 or more yards since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 14 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 14 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

#2 Ohio State has allowed 54.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– best in FBS; Average: 145.1

#2 Ohio State has allowed first downs on 20% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 60%

#2 Ohio State has allowed first downs on 20% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

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Penn State Preview

Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Parker Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Sean Clifford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 41% ROI)

Keyvone Lee has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Parker Washington has hit the Receptions Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)

Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)

Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)

Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.52 Units / 15% ROI)

Penn State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)

Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Penn State has gone 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

Penn State is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 10.58% ROI

Penn State is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Penn State is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

#16 Penn State is 9-4 (.692) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .379

#16 Penn State is 9-3 (.600) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

#16 Penn State is 7-3 (.538) when passing for more than 200 yards — 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .400

#16 Penn State is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .454

Matchup Notes for Ohio State vs. Penn State

Penn State has gained 1,454 yards on 115 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 8.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.

Penn State’s TEs has gained 391 yards on 24 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 8.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.

Penn State’s WRs have just 153.8 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-worst among Big Ten WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 156.5 receiving yards per game this season — third-best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs has 22 receiving touchdowns this season — most among Power 5 WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed 4 receiving touchdowns this season — fifth-fewest among P5 defenses.

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends

Penn State’s TEs has 5 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for most among Big Ten TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed 5 receiving touchdowns this season — fourth-fewest among Big Ten defenses.

Penn State Nittany Lions Defensive Stats & Trends

#16 Penn State opponents has averaged 10.7 Passing Attempts per TD (64 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.0

#16 Penn State opponents has averaged 45.4 Passing Attempts per TD (635 Pass Attempts/14 Passing TDs) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 20.0

#16 Penn State opponents has averaged 10.7 Passing Attempts per TD (64 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1

#16 Penn State opponents has averaged 65.7 Passing Attempts per TD (197 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 20.9

#16 Penn State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 28% (10 completions/36 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 58%

BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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