Heisman Odds - Updated Through Week 12

Find out who will win the Heisman race for the 2019 season

The Heisman Race - Updated Week 12 

Especially after Tua Tagovailoa (hip) was lost for the remainder of the season, Joe Burrow became even more of an overwhelming favorite to win the Heisman, while two other quarterbacks remain in the mix. Keep checking back each week to see who will win the Heisman this year and see our updated Heisman odds heading into Week 13 below:

  1. Joe Burrow (-1115)
  2. Justin Fields (+700)
  3. Jalen Hurts (+1200)
Tammy Anthony Baker, Flickr

Heisman Race Recap - Week 12

  • LSU quarterback Joe Burrow (-1115) went 32-for-42 passing for 489 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions in a 58-37 victory over Ole Miss. The Tigers are now a perfect 10-0.

  • Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields (+700) went 15-for-19 for 305 yards and four touchdowns through the air and added 30 yards on three rushes in a 56-21 win over Rutgers. The Buckeyes are also a perfect 10-0.

  • Oklahoma quarterback Jalen Hurts (+1200) went 30-for-42 for 297 yards, four touchdowns and an interception and added 114 yards on 27 caries in a comeback victory over a previously-undefeated Baylor squad. The Sooners are now 9-1 on the year. 

Heisman Favorites Week 12 - In Depth Analysis

Joe Burrow 

(-1115)

78.6 completion %, 41 total TD (38 passing), 3,902 total yards (3,687 passing), 6 INT

Although his two interceptions against Ole Miss were slightly disappointing, Burrow amassed 489 yards and five touchdowns through the air and led his offense to 58 points. With two games remaining in the regular season, Burrow is the overwhelming favorite to win this award. Expect him to continue to rack up his touchdown and yardage totals against Arkansas and Texas A&M in the upcoming weeks. It would likely take an upset by one of those two teams and a complete implosion by Burrow individually for him to lose the reigns on the award.

Justin Fields 

(+700)

69.1 completion %, 41 total TD (31 passing), 2,541 total yards (2,164 passing), 1 INT

As mentioned last week, Fields has been hurt by his own team’s dominance and efficiency this season. As you can see, he has produced the same number of total touchdowns that Burrow has, but has required many less attempts and yards to do so. Further, he’s taken care of the football in an incredible way, as conveyed by his lone interception. Luckily, while Burrow has two easy matchups to close out the year, Fields will be able to make a case for himself in two marquee matchups against Penn State and then on the road against Michigan to close out the regular season. If he continues to dominate in those contests, expect his odds to improve. 

Jalen Hurts 

(+1200)

73.0 completion %, 43 total TD (28 passing), 4,022 total yards (3,039 passing), 5 INT

Hurts has put the entire Oklahoma program on his back this season and has a whopping 983 rushing yards, including four 100-plus yard rushing games. One of them came against previously-undefeated Baylor on Saturday. He has two more touchdowns than both Burrow and Fields and has accrued more total yards than either of them. He should be able to improve on his overall numbers against TCU and Oklahoma State to close out the year. Once he surpasses the benchmark of 1,000 rushing yards and approaches the 50 touchdown range, expect him to receive some buzz. 

The Heisman Race - Updated Week 11

After Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa squared off in the highly-anticipated LSU/Alabama showdown, one quarterback clearly emerged as the Heisman frontrunner while only three others seem to currently be in the mix. Keep checking back each week to see who will win the Heisman this year and see our updated Heisman odds heading into Week 12 below:

  1. Joe Burrow (-910)
  2. Justin Fields (+1000)
  3. Jalen Hurts (+1400)
  4. Tua Tagovailoa (+2200)

Heisman Race Recap - Week 11

  • With his monster outing and victory over rival Alabama, LSU quarterback Joe Burrow (-910) became the overwhelming favorite to win the Heisman Trophy. 

  • Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields (+1000) moved into second with his four-touchdown performance in a blowout victory over Maryland, but his stats were negatively affected by his decreased playing time (due to the game script).

  • Jalen Hurts (+1400) scored five touchdowns, but wasn’t his normal efficient self in a one-point victory over Iowa State. His odds shifted sharply from +350 last week.

  • Tua Tagovailoa (+2200) saw his Heisman odds take a massive hit as he was thoroughly outplayed by Burrow in Bama’s loss to LSU. 

Heisman Favorites Week 11 - In Depth Analysis

Joe Burrow

(-910)

Stats: 78.9% completion, 36 total TD (33 passing), 3,387 total yards (3,198 passing), 4 INTs

As predicted, the Alabama/LSU game made a gigantic impact in the Heisman race. Burrow shredded Alabama’s defense, going 31-for-39 for 393 yards and three touchdowns passing while also adding 64 rushing yards on 14 carries. We often talk about a “Heisman moment”, but Burrow had a full Heisman game in LSU’s win over Bama. With upcoming matchups against three unranked teams (at Ole Miss and at home against Arkansas and then Texas A&M), it’s now his award to lose. The odds reflect that.

Justin Fields

(+1000)

Stats: 68.2% completion, 37 total TD (27 passing), 2,206 total yards (1,859 passing), 1 INT

Fields has had at least one rushing touchdown in eight of his nine games and has been nearly flawless as a passer (as indicated by his one interception), but his overall numbers have been affected by his own team’s dominance. As seen multiple times this season (including Week 11), Ohio State has elected to pull him early after securing an insurmountable lead. He went 16-of-25 for 200 yards and three passing touchdowns while posting 28 rushing yards and another touchdown on five carries, but could have put up monster numbers with a full allotment of playing time. He will square off against Rutgers in what should be another bloodbath next week before hosting Penn State and traveling to Michigan to close out the regular season. He’d most likely need to play all four quarters in those games and need Burrow to have an unexpected collapse down the stretch in order to vault over him. 

Jalen Hurts

(+1400)

Stats: 73.3% completion, 39 total TD (24 passing), 3,611 total yards (2,742 passing), 4 INTs

In a 42-41 victory over Iowa State in Week 11, Hurts went 18-for-26 for 273 yards, three touchdowns and an interception through the air and rushed the ball 22 times for 68 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. After leading his team to a hot start, Oklahoma’s defense imploded for the second-straight game and Iowa State was able to come up with enough stops to create an upset alert. In the end, Hurts and the Sooners escaped, but it wasn’t the type of video game style numbers we had grown accustomed to seeing from the quarterback. At this point, Hurts most likely poses the biggest threat to Burrow since he singlehandedly makes Oklahoma’s entire offense click. He also has an opportunity to face off against three quality teams (at Baylor, against TCU and at Oklahoma State) to close out the regular season. As seen above, he’s put up some incredible individual numbers this season, and he will need to clearly stand out over Burrow in that regard to have a chance at the Heisman. 

Tua Tagovailoa

(+2200)

Stats: 70.9% completion, 33 total TD (31 passing), 2,609 total yards (2,584 passing), 3 INTs

Tagovailoa wasn’t himself against LSU. Sure, he threw for 418 yards (but that was due to the game script — Bama was trailing for most of the game), but he completed just 21-of-40 passes (52.5 percent — had no 2019 start under 61.8 percent and just two outings less than 72.2 percent) and was clearly outplayed by Burrow. Since he previously missed a game due to his ankle injury, he needed to shine and clearly outplay Burrow in his matchup against LSU and simply didn’t do so. Tua and Bama will look to improve their CFP resume at Mississippi State, against Western Carolina and at Auburn to close out the regular season. Tagovailoa will have to put up historic numbers and rely on Burrow, Fields and Hurts to all collapse down the stretch in order to have a shot at the highest individual honor. 

Tammy Anthony Baker, Flickr

The Heisman Race - Updated Week 10

The Heisman race is heating up as we are now through Week 10 of the college football season. Five contenders have fully separated themselves from the competition, but interestingly, none of them took the field on Saturday due to open weeks on their respective schedules. Keep checking back each week to see who will win the Heisman this year and see our updated Heisman odds heading into Week 11 below:

  1. Joe Burrow (+125)
  2. Tua Tagovailoa (+200)
  3. Jalen Hurts (+350)
  4. Justin Fields (+600)
  5. Chase Young (+900)

Heisman Race Recap - Week 10

  • LSU quarterback Joe Burrow (+125) held onto his spot as the frontrunner during the Tigers’ open week. 

  • Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (+200) saw his odds decrease as the Crimson Tide also had an open week. 

  • Oklahoma quarterback Jalen Hurts (+350) maintained his odds after the Sooners’ open week. 

  • Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields (+600) also maintained his odds after the Buckeyes’ open week.

  • Ohio State defensive lineman Chase Young (+900) saw his odds slightly improve after the Buckeyes’ open week.

Heisman Favorites Week 10 - In Depth Analysis

Joe Burrow 

(+125) 

2,805 yards, 30 TDs, 4 INTs, 76.2%, 10.8 YPP, 204.5 Rating

125 rush yards, 3 rush TDs (8 Games Played)

All eyes will be on this week’s matchup between No. 1 LSU and No. 2 Alabama, and rightfully so. While the national championship implications are obvious, the matchup could very well determine the Heisman winner. Voters will be paying close attention to how Burrow performs against a Bama defense that’s filled with NFL-caliber talent. If he gets past the Crimson Tide or has a monster performance in a loss, Burrow should be able to bolster his resume at Ole Miss on November 16, against Arkansas (November 23) at home and Texas A&M (November 30) at home. This is the most important game of his career and could ultimately determine his legacy at LSU. No pressure! 

Tua Tagovailoa 

(+200) 

2,166 yards, 27 TDs, 2 INTs, 74.7%, 11.2 YPP, 212.4 Rating

30 rush yards, 2 rush TDs (7 Games Played)

Per multiple reports, Tagovailoa remains a game-time decision for the game against LSU. If he suits up, his Heisman chances will most likely still be alive (if he performs up to his standards). If not, there’s a strong chance that he will drop out of the race entirely, as dates against Mississippi State and Western Carolina before their season-ending contest against Auburn most likely won’t move the needle. If he expects to win the highest individual honor in the sport, he needs to play this game and make a major statement during it by outperforming Burrow after undergoing ankle surgery.

Jalen Hurts 

(+350) 

2,469 yards, 21 TDs, 3 INTs, 73.9%, 13.7 YPP, 224.3 Rating

801 rush yards, 13 rush TDs (8 Games Played)

Despite putting up a monster performance against Kansas State, Oklahoma’s defense let down Hurts and the offense, as well as the team’s title aspirations. However, matchups against three unranked teams in his four final games (Iowa State, TCU, Oklahoma State) should do wonders for his overall stat lines. He’s well on his way to approach the unreal marks of 4,000 passing yards and 1,200 rushing yards and if Tagovailoa doesn’t suit up or struggles against LSU and/or if Burrow struggles against Alabama, he could realistically emerge as the frontrunner for this honor as soon as next week. 

Justin Fields 

(+600)

1,659 yards, 24 TDs, 1 INT, 68.8%, 8.9 YPP, 185.2 Rating

319 rush yards, 9 rush TDs (8 Games Played)

Ohio State’s schedule sets up well for Fields. He should be able to absolutely smash both Maryland and Rutgers over the next two weeks and will have the opportunity to square off against current No. 5 Penn State on November 23rd and then will close out the regular season against current No. 14 Michigan in Ann Arbor. While Ohio State loves to run the football, he will have the opportunity to continue his ultra-efficient campaign and will most likely be given the chance to have his “Heisman moment” at the end of the season when it’ll be fresh in the minds of the voters. 

Chase Young 

(+900) 

13.5 sacks, 5 forced fumbles (8 games played)

Young has emerged as the most elite pass rusher in college football by a wide margin. Like Fields, he should dominate in each of the next two games before being able to showcase his talents against more formidable opponents in the final two games. In order for him to move up, he will most likely need to singlehandedly win a game for his team or set a major record or two since Heisman voters have historically ignored defensive players.

See Our Previous Week's Heisman Race Updates Below:

Tammy Anthony Baker, Flickr

The Heisman Race - Updated Week 9

The Heisman race is starting to heat up after strong performances in Week 9 of the college football season. The Heisman favorites are starting to separate themselves from the rest of the pack and some new names are emerging. Keep checking back to see who will win the Heisman this year and see our updated Heisman odds for this Week 9 below:

  1. Joe Burrow (+125)
  2. Tua Tagovailoa (+150)
  3. Jalen Hurts (+350)
  4. Justin Fields (+600)
  5. Chase Young (+1000)

Heisman Race Recap - Week 9

  • LSU QB Joe Burrow (+125) took over as the favorite after leading the Tigers to another big win with his sixth 300-yard game of the season. 

  • Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa (+150) sat out with an ankle injury, but there’s optimism as he is healing better than expected.

  • Oklahoma QB Jalen Hurts (+350) went off for 491 total yards but took a hit, as the Sooners lost their first game of the season.

  • Ohio State QB Justin Fields (+600) got a bump despite his worst statistical game of the year, thanks to OSU’s big win over Wisconsin.

  • Ohio State DE Chase Young (+1,000) looked like the best player in the country with his four sacks against the Badgers to generate Heisman buzz.

Heisman Favorites Week 9 - In Depth Analysis

Joe Burrow 

(+125) 

2,805 yards, 30 TDs, 4 INTs, 76.2%, 10.8 YPP, 204.5 Rating

125 rush yards, 3 rush TDs (8 Games Played)

There’s a new favorite in the Heisman race, as Joe Burrow led LSU to a 23-20 win over No. 9 Auburn. Another big win for the Tigers, who have the best resume in college football. While he threw for just one touchdown (with an INT), Burrow impressed with his overall performance. Dealing with more pressure than he has all season, he still managed to complete 32-of-42 passes (76.2 percent) for 321 yards. Auburn’s premier D-line was in Burrow’s face all game and he responded with poise.

The senior made pinpoint throws, fitting passes through tight windows, and he made plays with his legs, including his third rushing touchdown of the season, which ultimately was the decisive score. Burrow showed a lot of toughness on Saturday and beyond putting up gaudy numbers, he played the type of big game in a big spot that will impress voters. The win vaulted LSU to No. 1 in the AP Poll.

As big as LSU’s win was against, their third against a team ranked in the top-10, their biggest game has yet to be played. After an open week, the Tigers travel to Tuscaloosa to take on No. 2 Alabama on November 9. How Burrow performs against the rival Crimson Tide could make or break his status as the Heisman favorite.  

Tua Tagovailoa 

(+150) 

2,166 yards, 27 TDs, 2 INTs, 74.7%, 11.2 YPP, 212.4 Rating

30 rush yards, 2 rush TDs (7 Games Played)

Recovering from surgery on his ankle, Tua Tagovailoa sat out Alabama’s 48-7 win over Arkansas on Saturday. It was definitely a missed opportunity to pad his stats (backup Mac Jones threw three touchdowns) and potentially maintain his shared Heisman favorite status along with LSU’s Burrow.  

Looking ahead to Alabama’s highly-anticipated matchup with LSU in two weeks there is some good news for Tagovailoa. The Tide have a well-timed open week before their epic clash with the Tigers. His recovery is going well. According to head coach Nick Saban, Tua is healing “better than expected,” before he added that there is not a lot of swelling. While it’s unclear how much he’ll be able to do, Tagovailoa is expected to return to practice by midweek, which is the best-case scenario for Tide fans and Tua’s Heisman odds. 

Jalen Hurts 

(+350) 

2,469 yards, 21 TDs, 3 INTs, 73.9%, 13.7 YPP, 224.3 Rating

801 rush yards, 13 rush TDs (8 Games Played)

Jalen Hurts had arguably the best individual performance of any of the Heisman favorites on Saturday, as he threw for 395 yards, ran for 96 yards, and accounted for four touchdowns. He was nine yards short of throwing for 400 and rushing for a 100. The type of performance Heisman Trophy voters love. So, why did Hurts’s Heisman odds drop from +220 to +350? That’s easy.

Oklahoma was upset 48-41 by Kansas State in the Little Apple. As much as the Heisman Trophy is an individual award, it’s a team award as well. Winning your conference and making the playoffs means something to voters. OU’s chances on both accounts were hurt with their first loss of the season. Even in defeat, Hurts increased his college football leading 13.7 yards per pass and is up to 13 rushing touchdowns on the season. Don’t count him out yet.  

Things don’t get easier for the Sooners, but that’s a good thing for Hurts. After an open week, OU plays Iowa State (Nov. 9) and surging Baylor (Nov. 16), arguably their toughest Big 12 foes. With an open week themselves, Baylor survived upset Saturday in the Big 12 (the underdogs won all four Big 12 games in Week 9) and are viewed by many as a better version of Kansas State, with the defense to match. 

Justin Fields 

(+600)

1,659 yards, 24 TDs, 1 INT, 68.8%, 8.9 YPP, 185.2 Rating

319 rush yards, 9 rush TDs (8 Games Played)

Playing in windy and wet conditions, Justin Fields and Ohio State got off to a slow start in Columbus before they eventually rolled Wisconsin 38-7 at the Horseshoe. The weather, as well as Wisconsin’s pass rush (five sacks) definitely affected Fields as he was just 12-of-22 passing for a season-low 54.5 percent. His 167 passing yards and 195 total yards were also season lows. There were some drops, but Fields also had several passes sail high.

Nevertheless, the Ohio State quarterback’s Heisman odds took a big jump this week from +1,000 to +600 (yet another indication of how important team success is to becoming a Heisman favorite). The sentiment that the Buckeyes are the best team in the country continues to grow, which helps Fields. During Saturday’s win Fields tweaked his lower back and while he didn’t miss any time, he did wince after landing on his back on a run, which bears watching.

With an open week, followed by three-win Maryland and two-win Rutgers, Fields and the Buckeyes will not be tested again until late November when they close out the season with Penn State and Michigan. Both the undefeated Nittany Lions (beat Michigan State 28-7) and the improving Wolverines (beat Notre Dame 45-14) had impressive wins on Saturday setting up a big finish to the season for Fields and for the overall Heisman race.  

Chase Young 

(+1,000) 

13.5 sacks, 5 forced fumbles (8 games played)

It’s very apropos that an Ohio State defender takes Jonathan Taylor’s spot in the top five of the Heisman race, as the Buckeyes shutdown the Badgers back (52 yards, 2.6 YPC, 0 TDs). Defensive end Chase Young was the breakout star on Saturday. The junior tied OSU records with his four sacks and five tackles for loss (note: the Badgers only attempted 17 passes). Young is an absolute force of nature who was the best player on the field at the Horseshoe and that includes Fields.

He’s a dynamic edge rusher who can also stand up and move around the field, which the Buckeyes did to confuse Wisconsin’s blocking schemes as they held the Badgers to just seven points. In addition to getting after the quarterback, Young blew up more than one screen pass and he makes an impact against the run. The nation’s best defender vaulted his Heisman odds with his dominant performance on Saturday. 

I love seeing a defensive player get some Heisman love for a change, but the reality is Young still faces an uphill battle moving forward, especially with one teammate (Fields) ahead of him in the race and another in running back J.K. Dobbins (221 yards versus Wisconsin) as the next player on the Heisman odds list.

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The Heisman Race - Updated Week 8

The Heisman candidates are starting to solidify as we enter the second half of the college football season. The Heisman favorites are starting to separate them selves and names keep popping up at the bottom of the list. Keep checking back to see who will win the Heisman this year and see our updated Heisman odds for this week 8 below:

  1. Tua Tagovailoa(+150)
  2. Joe Burrow (+150)
  3. Jalen Hurts (+220)
  4. Justin Fields (+1,000)
  5. Jonathan Taylor (+2,000)

Heisman Race Recap - Week 8

  • Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa (+150) injured his ankle and will miss at least one game.

  • LSU QB Joe Burrow (+150) joins Tua as the co-favorite, as he leads the nation with his 29 touchdown passes and 79.5 completion percentage. 

  • Oklahoma QB Jalen Hurts (+220) accounted for five touchdowns on a combined 27 rushes and passes attempted, as it took him just 17 attempts to over 300 yards passing. 

  • Ohio State QB Justin Fields (+1,000) threw four touchdown passes but was unable to gain any ground even with Tua’s injury. 

  • Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor (+2,000) had a costly fumble as the Badgers lost their first game of the season in the biggest upset of 2019.

Heisman Favorites Week 8 - In Depth Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa 

(+150) 

2,166 yards, 27 TDs, 2 INTs, 74.7%, 11.2 YPP, 212.4 Rating

30 rush yards, 2 rush TDs (7 Games Played)

The story of Week 8 in college football was the high-ankle injury suffered by Tua Tagovailoa against Tennessee on Saturday. Midway through the second quarter, Volunteers defender Greg Emerson rolled on Tua’s ankle in the process of bringing the quarterback down for a sack. Tagovailoa stayed in for one more snap before he was removed for the remainder of the game and he underwent surgery on Sunday morning. Before the injury, the quarterback attempted 12 passes, none of which hit the ground. One was intercepted by Tennessee, just Tua’s second pick of the season. The 11 completed passes (91.7 percent) went for 155 yards (12.9 yards per pass). 

Despite the injury, Tagovailoa’s Heisman odds remain at +150. He will miss this week’s contest against Arkansas, so Alabama will go at least two games without Tua adding to his touchdown total. The Tide have an open week after they play the Razorbacks and before they host No. 2 LSU in Tuscaloosa. In a statement released by Nick Saban on Sunday, the head coach revealed that his quarterback had a “tight-rope procedure on his right ankle” (surgery) and that they expect a “full and speedy recovery.” But there’s no guarantee Tagovailoa will make it back for the Tigers in three weeks (he made it back for the CFB Playoffs after having the same procedure done to his left ankle in four-weeks time) or how effective he will be. 

Joe Burrow 

(+150) 

2,484 yards, 29 TDs, 3 INTs, 79.4%, 11.4 YPP, 216.2 Rating

94 rush yards, 2 rush TDs (7 Games Played)

Burrow has put in a lot of quality work through seven games, which is why his Heisman odds are right in line with Tagovailoa's . Nonetheless, there is a lot more work to do, as LSU will host Auburn this Saturday, a nice test against a top-10 foe before the Tigers visit No. 1 Alabama. In light of Tagovailoa’s injury, one can make the case that it’s Burrow’s award to lose and that LSU is the team to beat in the SEC. How they handle that spotlight against Auburn will be critical to Burrow’s chances. 

Jalen Hurts 

(+220) 

2,074 yards, 20 TDs, 3 INTs, 74.0%, 13.5 YPP, 226.1 Rating

705 rush yards, 10 rush TDs (7 Games Played)

Oklahoma’s remaining schedule features two ranked teams in No. 23 Iowa State and No. 14 Baylor, who they will play in consecutive weeks in November, as well as better defenses than you think. That starts with this week’s opponent, Kansas State. The Wildcats have a top-20 defense and lead the Big 12 in points allowed (18.7 PPG). K-State has been very good at defending the pass, ranked fifth nationally in pass defense (152.5 YPG), tenth in pass efficiency defense (105.88), and second in third-down defense (23.9 percent). This game could be sneaky tough for Hurts. 

Justin Fields 

(+1,000)

1,492 yards, 22 TDs, 1 INT, 70.7%, 9.2 YPP, 190.2 Rating

291 rush yards, 8 rush TDs (7 Games Played)

Ohio State’s contest versus Wisconsin in Week 9 was supposed to be a showcase game the Heisman candidate Fields, however with the Badgers losing to lowly Illinois on Saturday, the matchup simply won’t carry the same cache. It was slated to be a top-10 tussle against an undefeated team with the nation’s top-ranked defense. It’s still a chance to show what Fields can do against one of the better teams in college football, but it won’t be the major feather in his cap we thought it could be a week ago, as the Badgers dropped seven spots to No. 13 in the AP Poll. 

Jonathan Taylor 

(+2,000) 

957 rushing yards, 6.1 YPC, 15 rushing TDs

16 receptions, 138 receiving yards, 4 receiving TDs (7 Games Played)

On 28 carries, Jonathan Taylor rushed for 132 yards and a touchdown, his sixth 100-yard game of the season. However, nothing about Wisconsin’s result against Illinois went as expected, as the previously undefeated Badgers were upset by the Illini 24-23. A fumble by Taylor as Wisconsin was driving helped keep Illinois in the game. In addition to the fumble and the upset, Taylor really wasn’t that impressive. For the second-straight week and the third time in the past four games, the running back averaged below five yards per carry, the same amount of games he was held below that mark in the previous 17 games. As a freshman, he was held below five yards per carry just twice and three times all of last season. Just as important was Wisconsin’s loss, as the Badgers were dropped out of the top 10. Going from +900 to +2,000, Taylor is all but out of the Heisman race. 

The good news for Taylor is that he can get back into the Heisman race this coming Saturday, as Wisconsin takes on No. 3 Ohio State in Columbus. The Buckeyes are the class of the Big Ten, have the No. 10 rushing defense in the country (92.7 YPG), and are fourth in yards per carry allowed (2.2 YPC). If Taylor can lead the Badgers to an upset win over OSU with a monster game (200-plus rushing yards), he could move up the Heisman candidate totem pole. That’s a nearly impossible task, but that’s were Taylor’s Heisman chances are at this point. 

The Heisman Race - Updated Week 7

The Heisman race is fully on after week 7 of the college football season. The Heisman favorites are staying strong at the top in our quarterback heavy 2019 Heisman race. Keep checking back to see who will win the Heisman this year and see our updated Heisman odds for this week 7 below:

  1. Tua Tagovailoa (+150)
  2. Joe Burrow (+250)
  3. Jalen Hurts (+400)
  4. Jonathan Taylor (+900)
  5. Justin Fields (+1,000)

Heisman Race Recap - Week 7

  • Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa (frontrunner at +150 to win the Heisman Trophy) set the school’s all-time record with 81 career touchdown passes on Saturday.

  • LSU QB Joe Burrow (+250) cut the gap with Tua, has the Tigers at No. 2 with their win over Florida and is on pace for 50 touchdown passes. 

  • Oklahoma QB Jalen Hurts (+450) led the Sooners to a big win in the Red River Rivalry with four total touchdowns against Texas

  • Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor (+800) was held to below 100 yards on the ground for the first time this season. 

  • Ohio State QB Justin Fields (+1,000) saw his odds drop as others shine during the Buckeyes’ open week.

Heisman Favorites Week 7 - In Depth Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa 

(+150) 

2,011 yards, 27 TDs, 1 INTs, 73.6%, 11.0 YPP, 214.3 Rating

35 rush yards, 2 rush TDs (6 Games Played)

In a 47-28 win over No. 24 Texas A&M, Alabama’s first over a ranked opponent, Tua Tagovailoa completed 21-of-34 passes for 293 yards and four touchdowns. He was intercepted for the first time this season, but also put his name on the Crimson Tide’s record books. With 81 career touchdown passes, Tagovailoa is now Alabama’s all-time leading touchdown passer, breaking a tie with AJ McCarron. He also leads FBS football with 27 touchdown passes. After the win, Tua talked about the need to continue to improve and focusing on the next opponent in a very Belichickian way. But, his top competitors did close the gap on Saturday ever so slightly. 

In order for Tua to win the Heisman Trophy he will have to continue to improve because the award is far from in the bag. Just like the Tide, Tagovailoa’s biggest tests lie ahead in the month of November when they play No. 2 LSU and No. 11 Auburn. As for next week, ‘Bama hosts rival Tennessee, who is coming off their second win of the season. Against two ranked teams, the Vols have allowed a combined 77 points in blowout losses, but have intercepted nine passes thus far overall, second in the SEC. 

Joe Burrow 

(+250) 

2,157 yards, 25 TDs, 3 INTs, 79.6%, 11.6 YPP, 218.1 Rating

105 rush yards, 2 rush TDs (6 Games Played)

For the second time this season, Joe Burrow stared down a top-10 opponent and shined in front of a national audience on primetime, as he completed 87.5 percent of his passes to match a season-high. Burrow carved up the No. 7 Florida Gators and went 21-for-24 for 292 yards and three touchdowns through the air with no interceptions against a defense that had 12 picks coming in. Burrow’s first two scoring strikes gave the Bayou Bengals an early lead and he iced the game in the fourth quarter with under six minutes remaining when he connected with Ja’Marr Chase on a 54-yard touchdown to put the Tigers up 42-28. He also added a season-high 43 rushing yards (7.2 YPC). The win vaulted LSU to No. 2 in the AP Poll.

The Tigers visit Starkville, Mississippi this Saturday to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs. But the real measure for Burrow begins the following week, when he faces the daunting defensive line of the Auburn Tigers before his showdown with Tua Tagovailoa and No. 1 Alabama on November 9. The LSU quarterback may not lead the Heisman race but he controls his destiny. 

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Jalen Hurts 

(+400) 

1,758 yards, 17 TDs, 3 INTs, 71.5%, 12.8 YPP, 215.9 Rating

630 rush yards, 8 rush TDs (6 Games Played)

Like Joe Burrow, Jalen Hurts saw his status on the Heisman chase elevated with a big win in Week 7. He’s still third, but his odds are higher and he’s closer to the favorite. Hurts did something the past two Heisman Trophy winners, former Sooners Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray, couldn’t…beat Texas in his first Red River Rivalry game. Hurts accounted for all of OU’s four touchdowns in their 34-27 win over the Longhorns (three passing and one rushing). He led all players with 131 yards rushing, his third 100-yard rushing game this season, as Hurts has scored in five of six games He’s also thrown three TD passes in five games, as the Sooners moved up to No. 5 in the polls and took a big step towards another Big 12 title, and possibly a third-straight trip to the College Football Playoffs.

Looking ahead, before a potential rematch with the ‘Horns in the Big 12 Championship Game, Oklahoma has one ranked team remaining on the schedule, No. 18 Baylor. Kansas State (Oct. 26) also has a strong defense, but next week’s opponent (West Virginia) does not. It’ll be another chance for Hurts to put up some big numbers to impress voters. 

Jonathan Taylor 

(+900) 

825 rushing yards, 6.4 YPC, 14 rushing TDs

15 receptions, 136 receiving yards, 4 receiving TDs (6 Games Played)

The junior running back is coming off his worst game of the season, maybe the worst game any of the Heisman frontrunners has had at the midway point. The Wisconsin Badgers blew away Michigan State 38-0 in front of the Madison faithful with Jonathan Taylor taking the brunt of MSU’s defense. The Spartans focused on stopping Taylor which allowed the rest of the Badgers to flourish. It helped Wisconsin win their sixth game, but hurt Taylor’s Heisman chances. He was held to a season-low 80 yards rushing on 26 carries for just 3.1 yards a carry. It’s no surprise that his odds fell from +600 to +900, and he’s now holding onto fourth place by a slim margin. It’s worth mentioning that Taylor did score twice and still leads the nation with his 18 total touchdowns, though.

The two-time 2,000-yard rusher has a chance to have a big game this week at Illinois, one of the Big Ten’s worst run defenses. Expect Taylor to reach 100 yards rushing in the first half against the Illini, maybe the first quarter. After an open week, his best chance to make his Heisman case will come when the Badgers travel to Columbus to take on No. 4 Ohio State (Oct. 26). If Taylor can lead Wisconsin to a victory over the stout Buckeyes, his Heisman odds should increase substantially.

Justin Fields 

(+1,000)

1,298 yards, 18 TDs, 1 INT, 69.5%, 9.2 YPP, 187.5 Rating

283 rush yards, 8 rush TDs (6 Games Played)

Ohio State didn’t play last week and Justin Fields took a hit. He did nothing wrong, but with Joe Burrow and Jalen Hurts increasing their odds, Fields’s chances suffered. Bottom line, most of his numbers lag behind those of the top-three, who appear to have separated themselves.

Halfway through the season, Fields is looking like a longshot but at this point in the game he may provide the best value of all the candidates. Everything remains in front of Fields. He could make a run similar to Kyler Murray last year. Fields has three marque showdowns in the second half of the season, as Ohio State still has to play No. 6 Wisconsin, No. 7 Penn State, and at No. 16 Michigan to close out the season. If the Buckeyes run the table, don’t be surprised if Fields works his way up the Heisman totem pole. 

Redbird310, Flickr

The Heisman Race - Updated Week 6

The Heisman race is starting to hit it's stride after week 6 of the college football season. A group of top tier players have emerged and this week we are starting to see truly who is the Heisman favorite for the 2019 season. Keep checking back to see who will win the Heisman this year and see our updated Heisman odds for this week 6 below:

  1. Tua Tagovailoa (+125)
  2. Joe Burrow (+300)
  3. Jalen Hurts (+450)
  4. Jonathan Taylor (+600)
  5. Justin Fields (+800)

Heisman Race Recap - Week 6

  • Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa (+125) becomes an even bigger favorite despite not playing.

  • LSU QB Joe Burrow (+300) has his third game with five-plus TD passes and moved up to the second favorite. 

  • Oklahoma QB Jalen Hurts (+450) slipped after having his worst passing day with just 228 yards and fewer than 14 yards per pass (9.5 YPP) for the first time this season. 

  • Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor (+600) scored five touchdowns to put him pace for a remarkable 38 scores on the season. 

  • Ohio State QB Justin Fields threw for just 206 yards and was intercepted for the first time this season (18 TD passes). 

Heisman Favorites Week 6 - In Depth Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa 

(+125) 

1,718 yards, 23 TDs, 0 INTs, 77.7%, 11.6 YPP, 225.1 Rating

45 rush yards, 2 rush TDs (5 Games Played)

Despite taking the week off, Tua Tagovailoa’s stranglehold as the Heisman favorite got even stronger. That’s what happens when you’re putting up better numbers than last season when you were the Heisman runner-up, lead the No. 1 team in the country, and are the presumptive No. 1 overall pick. He’s been flawless this season and is the man to beat.  

As good as Tagovailoa has been, he’s yet to face a ranked opponent. This Saturday the Crimson Tide travel to College Station to take on Texas A&M, the first top-25 team on Alabama’s schedule. Of course, the Aggies are just an appetizer to the main courses, which are LSU (Nov. 9) and Auburn (Nov. 30). How Tagovailoa performs against his SEC West rivals will make or break his Heisman candidacy. 

Joe Burrow 

(+300) 

1,864 yards, 22 TDs, 3 INTs, 78.4%, 11.5 YPP, 216.2 Rating

62 rush yards, 2 rush TDs (5 Games Played)

His hot start to the season has Burrow up to No. 2 on the Heisman list as he moves ahead of Jalen Hurts this week. He’s built a foundation but there’s a lot more construction ahead if Burrow is going to be holding the hardware by season’s end. Three of their next four games are against ranked teams: vs. Florida (Oct. 12), vs. Auburn (Oct. 26), and at Alabama (Nov. 9). Those aren’t just the three toughest teams on LSU’s schedule, but the best three defenses the Tigers will face. 

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Jalen Hurts 

(+450) 

1,523 yards, 14 TDs, 2 INTs, 75.2%, 14.0 YPP, 231.3 Rating

499 rush yards, 7 rush TDs (5 Games Played)

As they do every year on the second Saturday in October, OU takes on Texas in the Red River Rivalry this coming week. This is Oklahoma’s biggest game and with the Longhorns just outside the top 10 at No. 11, it’s a chance for Hurts to gain some ground on his Heisman competitors. His performance in Dallas is the one that will be the most remembered when Heisman voters fill out their ballots. 

Jonathan Taylor 

(+600) 

745 rushing yards, 7.2 YPC, 12 rushing TDs

12 receptions, 114 receiving yards, 4 receiving TDs (5 Games Played)

For the first time this season, Jonathan Taylor ascended to the fourth slot on the list. He’s gone from +1,000 to +800 to +600 in just a couple of weeks. The face of the surging Badgers, Taylor raced and rumbled his way to 186 yards (9.8 yards per carry) and four rushing touchdowns with 215 total yards and five touchdowns in a blowout win over Kent State. That puts him on pace for 38 touchdowns! That’s the type of performance Taylor will need to continue to keep his name among the top contenders because the Heisman Trophy is slanted in favor of quarterbacks. 

Justin Fields 

(+800)

1,298 yards, 18 TDs, 1 INT, 69.5%, 9.2 YPP, 187.5 Rating

283 rush yards, 8 rush TDs (6 Games Played)

The good news for Fields is the season is far from over and Ohio State has three huge games against ranked opponents who have been moving up the polls in Wisconsin (Oct. 26), Penn State (Nov. 23), and Michigan (Nov. 30). The game against the Badgers could be a Big Ten title game preview. If you have money on Fields, you should be rooting for those teams to keep on winning, as they all could be in the top 10 by the time the Buckeyes face them. 

The Heisman Race - Updated Week 5

The Heisman race is getting a bit wild after week 5 of college football action. The preseason favorites are either rising to the top of falling out of contention. For the most part the Heisman candidates are who we thought they were. Shouts of to Denny Green RIP. Trevor Lawrence has seen the biggest slide to his Heisman odds so far this season so lets see if he can bounce back and win the Heisman race for the 2019 season. Keep checking back to see who will win the Heisman this year and see our updated Heisman odds for this week 5 below:

  1. Tua Tagovailoa (+200)
  2. Jalen Hurts (+300)
  3. Joe Burrow (+350)
  4. Justin Fields (+500)
  5. Jonathan Taylor (+800)

Heisman Race Recap - Week 5

  • Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa (+200) had another record-setting day against Ole Miss, setting the school record for career touchdown passes.

  • Oklahoma QB Jalen Hurts (+300) averaged 17.1 yards per attempt in a 55-16 win over Texas Tech.

  • LSU QB Joe Burrow (+350) saw his odds fall slightly during LSU’s bye week.

  • Ohio State QB Justin Fields (+500) has 23 total touchdowns and just one turnover in leading the Buckeyes to a 5-0 start.

  • Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor (+800) had his fourth straight 100-yard game against Northwestern.

  • Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence (+2800) is no longer among the favorites after another mediocre outing on Saturday.

Heisman Favorites Week 5 - In Depth Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa (QB, Alabama)

(+200)

1,718 Pass Yds, 23 Pass TDs, 0 INTs, 76.4%, 11.6 YPP, 225.1 Rating

45 Rush Yds, 2 Rush TD (5 Games Played)

Last year’s September Heisman is this year’s September Heisman as well. Tua Tagovailoa is the frontrunner to win this year’s award after coming up short last year, and he had an incredible performance against Ole Miss on Saturday. Tagovailoa set Alabama single game records with seven total touchdowns and six passing touchdowns in a 59-31 win over the Rebels, and he also broke the school record for career passing touchdowns. Tagovailoa has 86 passing touchdowns despite starting just 20 games for Alabama. 

The biggest tests for Tagovailoa are still to come though. Alabama has only played one decent defense (South Carolina), and the Crimson Tide have yet to face Texas A&M, LSU, or Auburn. The Crimson Tide have a bye next week, but they will face the Aggies in College Station on October 12 in their toughest test to date.

Jalen Hurts (QB, Oklahoma)

(+300)

1,295 Pass Yds, 12 Pass TDs, 1 INTs, 77.6%, 15.2 YPP, 249.9 Rating

443 Rush Yds, 5 Rush TDs (4 Games Played)

Lincoln Riley has a deserved reputation as a quarterback whisperer. Jalen Hurts is putting up video game numbers at Oklahoma, and he is the third straight transfer quarterback to earn serious Heisman Trophy consideration after moving to Norman. Hurts currently leads the nation by a mile in yards per pass and quarterback rating, and his final numbers could be absurd as the Sooners are now in the meat of their Big 12 schedule.

There could be factors outside Hurts’ control working against him though. Some Heisman Trophy voters might not want to give the award to an Oklahoma quarterback for a third consecutive season, especially considering what we’ve seen from Big 12 defenses during that stretch. In non-conference play, the Sooners faced terrible defenses in Houston, UCLA, and FCS South Dakota, so it might take a record-smashing season for Hurts to win the Heisman. 

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Joe Burrow (QB, LSU)

(+350)

1,520 Pass Yds, 17 Pass TDs, 2 INTs, 80.6%, 12.3 YPP, 225.6 Rating

20 Rush Yards, 1 Rush TD (4 Games Played)

The Bayou Bengals were on a bye last week, so Burrow slipped behind Hurts in the race for the Heisman Trophy. Burrow will have a chance to move ahead of Hurts in October though as LSU’s schedule gets very difficult and great games from the Tigers’ quarterback will bolster his Heisman candidacy. 

LSU takes on a solid Utah State team next week and will follow that up with tilts against Florida, Mississippi State, and Auburn. Only the game against Mississippi State is away from home, so the Tigers are expected to be favored in all four contests. If Burrow can lead LSU to wins in those four games, taking the team’s record to 8-0, the Tigers’ showdown in Tuscaloosa with Alabama could decide the Heisman Trophy.

Justin Fields (QB, Ohio State)

(+500)

1,092 Pass Yds, 16 Pass TDs, 0 INTs, 69.8%, 9.4 YPP, 194.4 Rating

222 Rush Yds, 7 Rush TDs (5 Games Played)

Ohio State obliterated Nebraska with the nation watching on Saturday night. There was extra attention on the game since College Gameday went to Lincoln for the affair, and the Buckeyes left no doubt who was the better team. The Buckeyes beat the Cornhuskers 48-7, and Fields’ performance strengthened his Heisman Trophy case.

Fields doesn’t have the gaudy stats of the other quarterbacks that are leading the field, but Ohio State’s obliteration of its first five opponents has led to the quarterback’s odds to win the Heisman Trophy steadily dropping. The Buckeyes average margin of victory is 43.8 points, but Fields will face a great defense next Saturday when Ohio State hosts Michigan State. The Spartans have one of the best defenses in the country. 

Jonathan Taylor (RB, Wisconsin)

(+800)

559 Rush Yds, 6.7 YPC, 8 Rush TDs

9 Rec, 85 Yds, 3 Rec TD (4 Games Played)

Only three running backs have won the Heisman Trophy in the 21st Century, so the odds are against Jonathan Taylor. Taylor’s incredible performance against Michigan is still fresh in the minds of voters, but he’ll need to keep churning out big yards against the rest of Wisconsin’s opponents to have a shot at the Heisman.

The Badgers will face three great defenses in their next five games. Wisconsin hosts Michigan State on October 12, travels to face Ohio State on October 26, and hosts Iowa on November 9. Michigan State and Ohio State are both ranked in the top three in defensive SP+, and Iowa is ranked 22nd. Those games are going to be tough for the Badgers, but if he surpasses 100 yards in two of those three outings he has a shot.

Wikimedia Commons

The Heisman Race - Updated Week 4

The Heisman race is fully underway after week 4 of college football Our preseason Heisman favorites remaining steady in their spots and we haven't seen much movement so far. Keep checking back to see who will win the Heisman this year and see our updated Heisman odds for this week 4 below:

  1. Tua Tagovailoa (+200)
  2. Joe Burrow (+300)
  3. Jalen Hurts (+400)
  4. Justin Fields (+600)
  5. Trevor Lawrence (+800)

Heisman Race Recap - Week 4

  • Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa (+200) is on pace to throw 51 touchdown passes and hasn’t thrown an interception yet this season. 

  • LSU QB Joe Burrow (+300) just enjoyed a 6 TD game on Saturday.

  • Oklahoma QB Jalen Hurts (+400) has put up mind-blowing numbers through three games for his new team.

  • Ohio State QB Justin Fields (+600) has accounted for 19 touchdowns and hasn’t thrown an interception yet through four games. 

  • Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence (+800) has surprisingly struggled out of the gates.

  • Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor (+1000) broke onto the scene with a dominant performance against Michigan on Saturday.

Heisman Favorites Week 4 - In Depth Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa (QB, Alabama)

(+200)

1,300 Pass Yds, 17 Pass TDs, 0 INTs, 77.7%, 11.6 YPP, 225.3 Rating

44 Rush Yds, 1 Rush TD (4 Games Played)

For much of 2018, Tua Tagovailoa was the odds-on favorite to win the Heisman Trophy and he’s playing even better this season. The southpaw is on pace to throw 51 touchdown passes and has yet to be intercepted. Both his completion percentage and yards per pass are improved from last season, as he leads the No. 2 team in the country. As former Heisman Trophy winner Tim Tebow said on television this week, Tua is “the best player in the country right now.” 

The only question some have about Tagovailoa is ability to perform against elite teams and top defenses, which is when his numbers dipped a year ago. How he plays against No. 4 LSU on November 9 and at Auburn (considered by many to have the best defensive line in college football) to close out the regular season, will likely decide his Heisman fate. 

Joe Burrow (QB, LSU)

(+300)

1,520 Pass Yds, 17 Pass TDs, 2 INTs, 80.6%, 12.3 YPP, 225.6 Rating

20 Rush Yards, 1 Rush TD (4 Games Played)

After Saturday’s record-setting performance, coach Ed Orgeron said, “There’s more to come.” If Burrow is going to win the Heisman, that needs to be the case. Like Tagovailoa, Burrow will have to face Auburn’s vaunted defensive front, but is there is one game that will make or break his candidacy, it’s the Tigers’ trip to Tuscaloosa to take on the Crimson Tide on November 9. To be the man, you’ve got to beat the man, and if Burrow can lead LSU to an upset over Alabama, he could vault the Bayou Bengals past the Tide in the SEC West standings and himself over Tua in the Heisman chase.  

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Jalen Hurts (QB, Oklahoma)

(+400)

880 Pass Yds, 9 Pass TDs, 0 INTs, 80.3%, 14.4 YPP, 250.2 Rating

373 Rush Yds, 4 Rush TDs (3 Games Played)

Playing in the Big 12, Hurts doesn’t have as many showcase opportunities or landmines as his SEC counterparts with the Red River Rivalry his best chance to make his Heisman case. The Sooners take on the Texas Longhorns in Dallas on October 12 and you can bet voters will compare his numbers to those of Burrow against the ‘Horns. Getting OU into the playoffs could provide Hurts with a big boost as well; it’s how Murray leapfrogged Tua late last season. 

Justin Fields (QB, Ohio State)

(+600)

880 Pass Yds, 13 Pass TDs, 0 INTs, 69.5%, 9.3 YPP, 192.4 Rating

150 Rush Yds, 6 Rush TDs (4 Games Played)

As good as Fields was, it was against Miami (Ohio). The Buckeyes really haven’t been tested, so it’s been easy sledding for the dual-threat, but that also means getting pulled at halftime as he was on Saturday. That changes moving forward. OSU plays at Nebraska on Saturday where ESPN GameDay will be and the following week, Fields will be challenged by Michigan State’s defense, the best in the Big Ten. There will also be a showdown with rising Wisconsin in October before they close out the season with East rivals Penn State and Michigan. The spotlight will find Fields in the coming weeks. 

Trevor Lawrence (QB, Clemson)

(+800)

925 Pass Yds, 7 Pass TDs, 5 INTs, 62.3%, 8.7 YPP, 147.9 Rating

55 Rush Yds, 3 Rush TDs (4 Games Played)

Heading into the season, Lawrence was the Heisman Trophy favorite and the best NFL prospect at the position since Andrew Luck, maybe John Elway. He was the perfect quarterback. Coming out of high school, Lawrence was the seventh-highest rated player in the 247 Sports era (Fields was ninth) and he lived up to the hype as a true freshman, leading the Tigers to a national championship. However, he’s gotten off to a troubling start, throwing five interceptions to just seven touchdowns through four games. Now, NFL scouts are most likely divided on just how “can’t miss” the Clemson quarterback really is, while his Heisman odds have plummeted. 

Making matters worse for Lawrence is that he plays in the ACC. Lawrence doesn’t face a highly-thought-of defense or top-10 foe the rest of the way. It’s possible, that Clemson won’t even play a ranked team or anyone who can challenge in their final eight regular season games. He does lead the No. 1 team in the country so don’t count him out, but all Lawrence can do is dominate the teams that are in front of him. 

Jonathan Taylor (RB, Wisconsin)

(+1,000)

440 Rush Yds, 7.7 YPC, 7 Rush TDs

6 Rec, 70 Yds, 3 Rec TD (3 Games Played)

Yes, running backs can win the Heisman Trophy, although it’s become a rarity. Alabama’s Derrick Henry is the only non-quarterback to bring home the hardware in the past nine seasons. If anyone can break the streak, it’s Taylor, who already has two top-10 Heisman Trophy finishes. He set the freshman rushing record in 2017 (breaking Adrian Peterson’s mark), rushed for 2,194 yards last season, and 2019 could be his best year yet. A strong runner between the tackles, Taylor has the electric breakaway speed his Wisconsin predecessors lacked. In their thrashing of No. 11 Michigan on Saturday, the New Jersey native had the type of game that catches the attention of Heisman voters with 203 yards (8.8 YPC) and two touchdowns, including a 72-yard scoring scamper. 

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