First Look: Week 5 College Football Line Movement

Heading into Week 5, the contenders and pretenders are beginning to separate themselves in college football and BetQL is your source for best bets, live sharp and public data, projections and so much more for each and every game. Below, you’ll see three opening lines that are sure to change as the week progresses. Best part: you’ll see the live odds and our corresponding best bets, too!

#24 Pittsburgh (-18.5) vs. Georgia Tech

Checking in at 3-1 on the year and back in the Top 25, Pittsburgh beat Rhode Island 45-24 last week after taking down West Virginia 38-31 in Week 1, falling to Tennessee 34-27 in overtime in Week 2 and then defeating Western Michigan 34-13 in Week 3. 

Meanwhile, Georgia Tech is coming off a 27-10 loss at UCF. That came right after a 42-0 home loss to Ole Miss. Tech also lost to Clemson (41-10) in Week 1 and the Yellow Jackets’ only win of the season came against Western Carolina. 

Georgia Tech head coach Geoff Collins and AD Todd Stansbury were both just fired and this program is in shambles right now. I expect Pittsburgh to close in the -21 to -24 range and expect Pitt running back Israel Abanikanda (479 yards, 5.8 YPC, 6 TD) to run all over the Yellow Jackets, who have allowed a ridiculous 239.7 rushing yards per game (124th out of 131 FBS teams).

South Alabama (-5.5) vs. Louisiana

South Alabama is off to a 4-0 ATS start to the year and have consistently taken advantage of oddsmakers’ disrespect towards them this year. Not only did the Jaguars just throttle Louisiana Tech 38-14, but they almost pulled off a shocking upset over UCLA on the road in Week 3 (32-31). Meanwhile, Louisiana is coming into this game with back-to-back losses (outright and ATS) against Louisiana-Monroe and Rice. 

The Ragin’ Cajuns have allowed 272.7 passing yards per game so far this year (96th in FBS), so South Alabama’s senior QB Carter Bradley (1,012 yards, 10 TD, 3 INT) should be in store for a strong performance. The Jaguars opened as 5.5-point favorites, but I wouldn’t be shocked if this line got up to +/-10 leading up to kickoff based on the early-season performances of both teams.

UTEP-Charlotte Under 57.5 Points

The under has gone 4-0-1 in UTEP’s games so far (52.5, 58, 46.5, 38 and 44.5), but despite that, this total opened at 57.5 points. In the Miners’ win over Boise State last week, they clearly showed their preference to run the football and carried it 81.82% of the time on offense (the third-highest percentage of any team in Week 4). 

That kept the clock moving and it’d be surprising for them to deviate from that strategy against Charlotte after they gashed Boise for 199 yards on the ground. Charlotte has allowed 241.8 rushing yards per contest, which ranks 7th-worst in the FBS, so I fully expect UTEP to establish the run and find success there in this one. Expect this total to close around 50 points, and even that may be generous.