BetQL Editors' College Football Picks For Week 11

The college football season rolls into Week 11, and that means another week of tough decisions for bettors. To help you make the best bets this week, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite NCAAF bets below using key trends and the BetQL model's data.

One trend to note is that the BetQL college football model has been red-hot, going 10-3 (77%) on ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ spread picks in the last 30 days! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every game.

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Dan Karpuc: Georgia -16.5 at Mississippi State
Under Kirby Smart, Georgia has gone 18-6 ATS as a road favorite and I like them to add another notch in the ATS win column in this matchup. Coming off a 27-13 win over Tennessee last week, the Bulldogs’ confidence is at an all-time high and their pass defense should be up for a tough test. Mike Leach’s Mississippi State offense averages 49.8 pass attempts per game (most in FBS) and 324.3 passing yards per game (seventh). Georgia’s defense has allowed 187.9 passing yards per contest (19th), 5.8 yards per pass attempt (fifth) and limited Heisman candidate Hendon Hooker as a passer last week, consistently getting pressure on him and making him uncomfortable. Georgia is the best team in the country and they’ll prove it once again this week with a dominant win on the road.

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Brad Pinkerton: Arizona-UCLA Under 77.5

Even though these teams are a combined 14-4 O/U this year, I'm going out on a limb and saying that this number is too high. This is the highest total either team has seen all season, even with their well-known offensive strengths (and defensive weaknesses). Hell, even the UCLA-Oregon total was "only" 70.5 (Oregon won, 45-30). And if you want to use Oregon as a proxy for UCLA here, which is super unscientific and barely even relevant, the Ducks combined with Arizona for a meager 71 points a few weeks ago. In other words, asking for 78 points, even in this matchup, is asking a lot. At the very least, this will be the most thrilling under bet I've ever made.

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Lucy Burdge: Kentucky -17 vs. Vanderbilt
Kentucky is 6-3 ATS this season and is coming off of a cover (+1) at Missouri last week, while Vanderbilt is just 3-6 ATS after failing to cover +6.5 at home against South Carolina last weekend. In fact, Vandy has covered just once in the last five games, so I think Kentucky can cover this big spread here. Some trends in favor of Kentucky to cover here are that Mark Stoops at Kentucky is 16-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56, and 31-15 ATS in games played on turf. I see Kentucky rolling over Vanderbilt this weekend.

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MORE: WEEK 11 COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE

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