College Football Betting Guide: Odds, Trends & Picks For Week 12

College Football Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For Week 12

The college football season rolls along to Week 12, and BetQL is your source for NCAAF best bets, live college football public bets, live NCAAF sharp data, college football line movement and historical betting trends in addition to our NCAAF articles that cover the sport from top to bottom. Scroll down to see all the best bets and key betting trends for this week's top matchups.

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SMU at No. 21 Tulane

ATS Record: SMU 5-5, Tulane 8-2

O/U Record: SMU 4-6, Tulane 4-6

Thursday night brings us a huge game in the AAC race. Tulane’s dream season took a hit with last week’s loss to UCF. The Green Wave likely need to win their last two games just to get a chance to avenge that loss to UCF in the AAC Championship Game. The good news is last week’s game was just the second time in eight games that the Green Wave failed to cover the spread as a favorite. Meanwhile, the Mustangs have won seven in a row and 10 of the last 11 games in this series, including a 55-26 win last season. SMU is also on a roll with three straight wins SU and four straight ATS wins.

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Navy at No. 17 UCF

ATS Record: Navy 6-4, UCF 7-3

O/U Record: Navy 6-4, UCF 4-6

Unfortunately, the Midshipmen have nothing but pride to play for in this game. Last week’s loss to Notre Dame took them out of bowl contention. However, Navy is 6-2 ATS as an underdog this year and 5-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog. Of course, UCF is 8-2 on the season and covered five of their last six games while getting the inside track on reaching the AAC title game. In fact, the Knights have won three in a row ATS while head coach Gus Malzahn is 14-3 ATS during his coaching career coming off three or more straight ATS wins.

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Illinois at No. 3 Michigan

ATS Record: Illinois 6-4, Michigan 6-4

O/U Record: Illinois 3-6-1, Michigan 2-7-1

With back-to-back losses, Illinois no longer has the inside track in the Big Ten West, which means the Fighting Illini need to win their last two games and get outside help. The good news is they’ve won both games this season in which they’ve been the underdog. However, Illinois has also lost five straight games in their rivalry against the Wolverines, and the Illini haven’t won in Ann Arbor since 2008. Also, Michigan has won the last four games in this rivalry by at least 17 points.

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No. 4 TCU at Baylor

ATS Record: TCU 8-1-1, Baylor 6-4

O/U Record: TCU 6-4, Baylor 7-3

With two weeks left, TCU has already clinched a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game, although the undefeated Horned Frogs have a chance to reach the College Football Playoff if they finish the season unbeaten. The Horned Frogs have also covered their last three games as a favorite. More importantly, they’ve won six of their last seven rivalry games with Baylor, including their last three trips to Waco. However, two of the last seven games in this series have gone to overtime, not including a 30-28 win for the Horned Frogs last season. Also, Baylor is 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS as an underdog in conference play this year.

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No. 19 Kansas State at West Virginia

ATS Record: Kansas State 6-3-1, West Virginia 5-5

O/U Record: Kansas State 4-6, West Virginia 5-5

It may not seem like it, but Kansas State controls its own destiny with regard to reaching the Big 12 Championship Game. If the Wildcats beat West Virginia and in-state rival Kansas these next two weeks, they’ll play TCU for the Big 12 title. The problem is the Wildcats have lost five of their last six games against West Virginia, including their last three trips to Morgantown. Of course, K-State is 2-1-1 ATS on the road this year. But the Mountaineers are fresh off a home win over Oklahoma and know they need to win their last two games to qualify for a bowl game.

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No. 25 Oregon State at Arizona State

ATS Record: Oregon State 8-2, Arizona State 4-6

O/U Record: Oregon State 6-4, Arizona State 4-6

The Beavers are back in the top 25 after winning four of their last five games. They’re also one of the best ATS teams in the country, beating the spread in four straight games. Also, Jonathan Smith is 7-0 ATS at Oregon State when the Beavers are coming off a win of 17 points or more and 7-0 ATS after covering a double-digit spread, which OSU did last week with a 38-10 win over Cal last week. Meanwhile, the Sun Devils are 3-4 ATS as an underdog, failing to beat the spread in back-to-back losses to UCLA and Washington State.

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No. 23 Coastal Carolina at Virginia

ATS Record: Coastal Carolina 4-5-1, Virginia 4-6

O/U Record: Coastal Carolina 5-5, Virginia 3-7

Coastal Carolina faces a road game with James Madison next week that could be a play-in game for the Sun Belt title game. But before that, they have a chance to prove themselves against a power-conference opponent, albeit one that’s 3-7. The 9-1 Chanticleers are underdogs in this game, although they’ve won both of their games as underdogs this season. Also, James Chadwell is 7-0 ATS when the spread is between -3 and +3. As for the Cavs, they have failed to cover in all three games in which they’ve been favored.

Miami at No. 9 Clemson

ATS Record: Miami 2-8, Clemson 5-5

O/U Record: Miami 4-6, Clemson 5-5

These two programs have met just three times in the last decade, all of which were lopsided Clemson wins with the average margin of victory being 39.3 points and the closest game being a 25-point victory for the Tigers. In more recent history, the Tigers are 1-4 ATS at home with last week’s win over Louisville being the first time Clemson has covered the spread in a home win. Ironically, all three of Miami’s ACC wins have come on the road. But the Hurricanes are also 1-2 ATS as an underdog, including that humiliating, 45-3 loss to Florida State a couple of weeks ago.

No. 11 Penn State at Rutgers

ATS Record: Penn State 7-3, Rutgers 5-4-1

O/U Record: Penn State 7-3, Rutgers 5-5

The Scarlet Knights haven’t beaten Penn State since 1988, losing 15 in a row against the Nittany Lions. Of course, Rutgers needs to win its last two games to get to a bowl game. The Scarlet Knights are just 1-6 in Big Ten play, although they are 3-3-1 ATS in conference play. But the Nittany Lions have won three in a row ATS, covering the spread as a double-digit favorite in back-to-back games.

No. 22 Cincinnati at Temple

ATS Record: Cincinnati 2-7-1, Temple 7-3

O/U Record: Cincinnati 5-5, Temple 5-5

The Bearcats are 8-2 and two wins away from having a chance to defend their AAC title. But they’ve also lost six straight games ATS. During that six-game stretch, they lost the one game in which they were the underdog and haven’t won by more than 20 points with three of their five wins coming by four points or less. Meanwhile, Temple isn’t going to a bowl game but they have won four straight ATS and are 4-2 ATS this year as a double-digit underdog.

No. 14 Ole Miss at Arkansas

ATS Record: Ole Miss 4-5-1, Arkansas 5-5

O/U Record: Ole Miss 5-5, Arkansas 7-3

The Rebels have taken three of the last four games in the SEC West rivalry, although they did lose their last trip to Fayetteville in 2020. Also, two of those three wins came by four points or fewer, including a 52-51 shootout last season. The Hogs are just 2-4 in SEC play this season and need one more win to become bowl eligible. And although they are 3-1 ATS in their last four games, they have also lost SU in their last three home games. Meanwhile, under Lane Kiffin, Ole Miss is 15-1 as a favorite, including 8-0 SU when favored this year.

No. 24 Oklahoma State at Oklahoma

ATS Record: Oklahoma State 6-4, Oklahoma 3-7

O/U Record: Oklahoma State 6-4, Oklahoma 4-5-1

This has to be one of the most low-key Bedlam games in recent memory. The Sooners are just 1-6 ATS inside the Big 12 this season, going 2-4 SU as a favorite. Of course, the Sooners are favored in this game and in need of one more win to become bowl eligible. Keep in mind that Oklahoma State snapped a six-game losing streak in this rivalry last season, although they haven’t won a game in Norman since 2014. To their credit, the Cowboys are 4-2 ATS and 3-3 SU as an underdog in conference play this season. But Mike Gundy’s team has also scored just 36 total points over their last three games, which has to be a concern.

No. 7 USC at NO. 16 UCLA

ATS Record: USC 6-4, UCLA 6-4

O/U Record: USC 7-3, UCLA 7-3

Despite their frustrating loss to Arizona last week, UCLA still has a chance to reach the Pac-12 Championship Game with two wins to close out the season. The Bruins beat USC last year and have won two of their last four games against the Trojans, so they shouldn’t be intimidated by their cross-town rivals. They’ve also won two of three games SU when they’ve been an underdog. As for the Trojans, this is their Pac-12 finale but they know they’ll be in the conference title game with a win. But keep in mind they’re 1-3 ATS as a road favorite this year.

UAB at No. 7 LSU

ATS Record: UAB 4-6, LSU 6-4

O/U Record: UAB 4-6, LSU 4-6

The Tigers have already booked a date with Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, although if they win out, a spot in the College Football Playoff is still impossible. But they are just 2-3 ATS as a favorite this season and will be facing a tricky UAB team. By their standards, the Blazers have had a disappointing season, although UAB did pull off a win over LSU in Baton Rouge in 2000, so Brian Kelly’s team can't take anything for granted.

No. 10 Utah at No. 12 Oregon

ATS Record: Utah 6-4, Oregon 7-3

O/U Record: Utah 5-5, Oregon 7-3

This game will likely end up being a play-in game for the Pac-12 Championship Game in addition to being a rematch of last year’s conference title game that Utah dominated. On top of that, the Ducks need to find a way to bounce back from last week’s loss to Washington, which completely took them out of the College Football Playoff picture. For Utah, this will be the first time all season the Utes have been an underdog. But it’s also worth mentioning that their two losses this year both came on the road, losing at Florida and UCLA. This will also be Utah’s first trip to Eugene since 2017 when they lost 41-20.

BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets with star ratings for every game. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best college football bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NFL, NBA, NHL and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!