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Betting Trends Ahead Of Cincinnati vs. Central Florida

A high over/under mark headlines a slate of tendencies

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Quick-Hitters

  • UCF has posted plenty of points this season, but over/under lines have been large in their games, resulting in the over hitting in 4-of-7 games. They've struggled to cover ATS (2-5).

  • Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS and the under has hit in four of their last six games.

Get all of BetQL's best bets for this week's NCAAF slate! Dating back a full calendar year, our five-star (max-value) bets have won 61% of the time!

UCF's Potent Offense

After anointing themselves the National Champions of the 2017 season, the Central Florida Knights have steadily continued their success. In the two years after their 13-0 record, they’ve gone a combined 22-4. They currently find themselves sitting at 5-2 with their biggest game of the year in front of them. UCF has won three games in a row and look to be building momentum at the right time.

If there’s one thing that the Knights do well, it’s scoring. They currently rack up the most yards per game in the country with 619, and their 396 passing yards is also at the top of the list. Quarterback Dillon Gabriel has been having a great season to this point, throwing for 2,774 yards, 23 touchdowns, and only two interceptions. The offense keeps them in every game, but it’s the defense that's holding them back to this point.

To put it simply, the Knights' defense has struggled. They’re allowing over 28 points per game and nearly 450 total yards. In their two losses this season, they’ve allowed 42 points per game. Against a Cincinnati offense that has been rolling of late, they’re going to have to tighten up, or this one could become a shootout.

Cincinnati Dominance

At 7-0, the Cincinnati Bearcats, should be in contention for the CFP. The problem for them is that they play in the American Athletic Conference, which is not known for having the best competition. It could be a repeat of 2017 when their opponent, the UCF Knights, went undefeated and was still left out of the party. To avoid this, Cincinnati is going to have to rack up some style points against some solid teams, starting with UCF.

Speaking of style points, Cincinnati's margin has been great. In their seven wins, they haven't had a margin of victory that was less than 14 points, and that came in their second game. The Bearcats' last five games have been won by at least three touchdowns, covering in four of them.

Cincinnati's road game against UCF will be huge. UCF is a solid team with some name recognition, and a big win will go a long way for their playoff hopes. After that, they’ll get games against Temple and Tulsa, two teams who won’t move the needle for them. To put it simply, this may be their last chance to make a lasting impression this season, so expect them to come out motivated and ready to make a statement.

Betting Trends

This should be a fun game. If there’s any team that has the confidence to beat this Cincinnati team in the AAC right now, it’s UCF. They think they can compete with anyone, and that’s just the state of their program right now. The Bearcats have been absolutely dominant this season, so we'll see if the Knights can compete.

UCF has posted plenty of points this season, but over/under lines have been large in their games, resulting in the over hitting in 4-of-7 games. They've struggled to cover ATS (2-5). On the other end, Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS, and the under has hit in four of their last six games.

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