Iowa vsOhio State Prediction
In what is shaping up to be a lopsided affair, the Ohio State Buckeyes are heavily favored to take down the Iowa Hawkeyes in their upcoming matchup. Ohio State's dominance is reflected in their 89.0% win probability over Iowa, according to simulations. Quarterback Will Howard is expected to have a strong performance, averaging 201.0 passing yards and 1.7 touchdowns per simulation. Meanwhile, running back TreVeyon Henderson is projected for 70.0 rushing yards with a slim chance of scoring a rushing touchdown.
Despite the overwhelming odds favoring Ohio State, there is still a glimmer of hope for Iowa. In the 11.0% of simulations where Iowa emerges victorious, quarterback Cade McNamara steps up with an average of 0.93 touchdown passes per game, albeit with some interceptions involved. Running back Kaleb Johnson also plays a crucial role in Iowa's potential wins, averaging 91.0 rushing yards and 0.55 rushing touchdowns in those scenarios. However, if the Hawkeyes fall short, McNamara's touchdown to interception ratio takes a hit, underscoring the importance of ball security for their success.
The current point spread stands at Ohio State -19.5 points with an Over/Under line of 45.5 points, indicating oddsmakers expect the Buckeyes to dominate both offensively and defensively. Ohio State's defense holds a significant advantage in turnovers, boasting a 30.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. This positive turnover margin greatly increases their chances of emerging victorious, with the model suggesting they win a staggering 94% of the time when they win the turnover battle. To get detailed insights on how BetQL's model predicts the outcome of this game and others, make sure to subscribe and access our winning picks and analysis!