Maryland vsNC State Prediction
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Maryland winning 43% of simulations, and North Carolina State 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Maryland commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 52% when they take care of the ball. North Carolina State wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Taulia Tagovailoa is averaging 145 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (46% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Devin Leary is averaging 263 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (42% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NCST +0.5 --- Over/Under line is 46.5