Mississippi State vsIllinois Prediction
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Mississippi State winning 54% of simulations, and Illinois 46% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Mississippi State commits fewer turnovers in 30% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. Illinois wins 56% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jo\'Quavious Marks is averaging 43 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Donny Navarro is averaging 75 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ILL -1 --- Over/Under line is 46