Florida vsFlorida State Prediction
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida winning 40% of simulations, and Florida State 60% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida commits fewer turnovers in 40% of simulations and they go on to win 51% when they take care of the ball. Florida State wins 77% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Spencer Rattler is averaging 279 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (44% chance) then he helps his team win 53%. Tyler Shough is averaging 343 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (44% chance) then he helps his team win 75%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLAST -9.5 --- Over/Under line is 57.5