UCF vsDuke Prediction
UCF is a heavy favorite winning 79% of simulations over Duke. Dillon Gabriel is averaging 338 passing yards and 2.7 TDs per simulation and Isaiah Bowser is projected for 117 rushing yards and a 91% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 21% of simulations where Duke wins, Luca Diamont averages 1.53 TD passes vs 0.31 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.89 TDs to 0.42 interceptions. Jordan Moore averages 105 rushing yards and 0.79 rushing TDs when Duke wins and 98 yards and 0.47 TDs in losses. UCF has a 52% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83% of the time.