I’m on a bit of a hot streak in college basketball, as I’ve won my last five staff picks. Let’s keep it rolling and finish the week out strong with this pick! This game features two talented teams, as Toledo (14-4) and Ohio (14-2) are off to hot starts. However, Toledo has gone 7-0 ATS against teams with winning records this season and have won and covered the spread in five consecutive games overall (and eight of their last nine). Toledo is also getting heavy money, according to BetQL's Sharp Report.
Michigan State is 8-7 ATS this season and 3-0 ATS on the road. And Tom Izzo is 33-12 ATS after a close loss by three points or less, and 148-107 ATS after having won four of the last five games while coaching Michigan State. I see Michigan State covering this spread on the road against Wisconsin.
Believe it or not, Wisconsin has been one of the more reliable teams to go over the total this season at 12-5. They have actually hit seven straight overs and are 6-3 O/U at home and 9-4 O/U as the favorite. Michigan State has also gone over in six of their last eight, which includes three straight overs in games away from home. I'll take the over here on this very reasonable total.
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