Wednesday presents a busy day in the NBA with 13 games on the slate. It also presents a lot of opportunities for our model to spit out winners. Scroll down to see our model's best bets, sharp picks, top trends and so much more for each and every game.
One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model has been on fire recently, going 57-32 (64%) on all picks rated ⭐⭐ and higher in the past 3 days for a total return of $913 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game.
Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best NBA bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NFL, NHL, and NCAA football and basketball games! Start your free trial today!
Wednesday presents a busy day in the NBA with 13 games on the slate. It also presents a lot of opportunities for our model to spit out winners. Scroll down to see our model's best bets, sharp picks, top trends and so much more for each and every game.
One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model has been on fire recently, going 57-32 (64%) on all picks rated ⭐⭐ and higher in the past 3 days for a total return of $913 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game.
Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best NBA bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NFL, NHL, and NCAA football and basketball games! Start your free trial today!
The Chicago Bulls (9-10 SU, 10-8-1 ATS, 7-12 O/U) continue their West Coast road trip with a stop in The Valley to take on the red-hot Phoenix Suns (14-6 SU, 11-8-1 ATS, 8-11-1 O/U).
The Suns have been absolutely rolling as of late. They’ve won their last five games, covering the spread in three of those games. During this win streak, Phoenix has been the best defensive team in the league. They also rank second in rebounds and blocks during that span. A lot of that is because Deandre Ayton has been an absolute monster recently. He put up 28 points and 20 rebounds against the Jazz and had 28 points and 10 rebounds against the Pistons. If Ayton decides to play that like again tonight, the Bulls frontcourt is going to be in trouble.
The Bulls have had success recently themselves, going 3-2 over their last five games with impressive wins against the Celtics and Bucks. But this feels like a bit of a sleepy spot for Chicago being they’re smack dab in the middle of a six-game road trip. Defensively, Chicago will need to make guarding the perimeter a major emphasis tonight because they’re currently the sixth worst team in opponents 3PT%, and the Suns are a top-10 team when it comes to knocking down shots from deep.
My lean: Suns -5.5
The Washington Wizards (11-10 SU, 9-10-2 ATS, 11-10 O/U) get a rematch with the Brooklyn Nets (11-11 SU, 10-12 ATS, 9-13 O/U) tonight after getting blown out by them 128-86 earlier this month.
It feels like the Nets have finally moved away from all off-court drama and are focused solely on playing basketball. About time! And would you look at that, when all you have to worry about is basketball, you tend to play pretty well. Kevin Durant is coming off of 45 and 31-point performances over his last two games and Kyrie Irving has been complimenting his play nicely. This is also a pretty comfy schedule spot for Brooklyn. They played their last two games at home and have four more at the Barclays Center after tonight.
In the last meeting between these two teams, Washington only shot 36% from the field and 23.5% from deep. It’s hard to put points on the board with those types of numbers, but I don’t expect them to shoot that poorly again tonight. Brooklyn’s defense has been better lately, but it’s still not a unit that’s going to shut teams out. Washington owns a top-5 offensive rating over their last five games and is averaging 116.2 points per contest. Don’t let the Wizards lack of scoring in their last meeting with Brooklyn scare you. I chalk that up to nothing more than a poor shooting night. I think the Wizards keep this game much closer, which is a good sign when betting overs.
My lean: Over 226.5
The Miami Heat (9-11 SU, 7-12-1 ATS, 9-10-1 O/U) travel to Beantown for a two-game mini-series with the Boston Celtics (17-4 SU, 12-8-1 ATS, 11-10 O/U) this week.
The Celtics are hands down the best team in the league right now. They’ve won their last four games and are 10-1 on the season at TD Garden. Their offense ranks No. 1, which isn’t hard to believe when they’ve put up 140, 130, 122, and 125 points in those last four wins, respectively. Boston has also already beaten Miami once this season in South Beach. In that game, the Celtics dominated the boards and the paint. They also had 20 turnovers, which you don’t see a whole lot from this team, and they still won by seven.
Miami is going to be without Jimmy Butler and Duncan Robinson tonight as they’re both out with injuries. Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro and Dewayne Dedmon are all listed as questionable for tonight. I could see Erik Spoelstra holding a number of those players out and essentially using this as a throw-away game in order to get his team healthy enough to try and win the second game of this mini-series on Friday.
My lean: Celtics -9
The Philadelphia 76ers (12-9 SU, 12-8-1 ATS, 9-12 O/U) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (12-8 SU, 11-8-1 ATS, 9-11 O/U) meet for the first time this season in a matchup between two top teams in the Eastern Conference.
Instead of playing a side or total in this game, I’m going to play the Sixers team total at 104.5. I like Philly to go over this number for the sole reason that Jarrett Allen is out with a back injury and won’t be playing tonight. Allen being out favors the Sixers in a few different ways. For starters, without the big man on the floor for Cleveland, the Cavs defensive rating goes way down. When Allen went out with an injury in March of last season, the team’s defensive rating went from 106.4 with him, to 117.3 without him. This also means that Evan Mobley is going to be tasked with guarding Joel Embiid tonight. That’s not a matchup that I like for Mobley, but it is one that I like for Embiid. He's had a lot of success against Mobley in the past I think he'll dominate inside again tonight, making it difficult for the Cavs to slow down Philly’s scoring.
My lean: Sixers TT O 104.5
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