BetQL Editors' NBA Picks For Monday, Nov. 14

Today's NBA Best Bets

Another day of NBA action means another day of tough decisions for bettors. To help you make the best bets today, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite NBA bets below using key trends, data and picks from the BetQL NBA model.

One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model remains red-hot, going 82-38 (68%) on all NBA picks rated ⭐⭐⭐⭐ and higher in the past two weeks (22-9 on five-star picks) for a total return of $1,508 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game.

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Dan Karpuc: Clippers at Rockets Under 220
As I wrote about in today’s NBA Playbook, both of these teams are terrible on the offensive end. The under has gone 11-2 in Los Angeles’ 13 games to open the year, so it’s clear that sportsbooks have consistently overvalued them as an offensive unit. Not only do the Clippers average only 103.9 points per game (worst in the entire NBA), but they rank 29th in Offensive Rating, which means they’re the second-least efficient team in the league at that end of the floor. L.A. has also been one of the best defensive teams in the league, limiting their opponents to 107.3 points per game (fifth-best) and they rank fourth in Defensive Rating. Since Houston ranks 23rd in scoring (109.9 points per game) and has shot just 43.8% from the field (second-worst), this side of the total makes even more sense especially considering that Jalen Green (shoulder) is questionable for the Rockets while Kawhi Leonard (injury/rest/who knows?) will be out again for the Clippers. John Wall (rest) could also sit for L.A. since this is the first half of a back-to-back. Too many signs point to the under and I think it should be more in the 210ish range.

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Lucy Burdge: Celtics -11 vs. Thunder
The Celtics are on a six-game winning streak and have covered the spread in each of their last three games. Meanwhile, the inconsistent Thunder have lost and failed to cover the spread in four of their last six games. Over the last two years, the Celtics are 58-44 ATS versus teams attempting 24 or fewer free throws per game, and 46-33 ATS versus teams averaging at least 23 assists per game. Boston has been dominating lately and I think they’ll keep that going and cover this spread against the Thunder at home.

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Brad Pinkerton: Bucks -4 vs. Hawks

These teams have split their two meetings so far, with Milwaukee winning at home, 123-115, in October and Atlanta winning at home, 117-98, earlier this month. But keep in mind that Giannis Antetokounmpo was at less than 100% for that last game with a sore knee, but he's probable for tonight after missing the last two. The Bucks are 9-3 ATS this season, including 6-1 at home, while Atlanta is just 6-7 overall and looks like a different team on the road (2-4 ATS). With Giannis back, I expect the Bucks to cover at home tonight.

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