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BetQL is your daily source for best bets, sharp picks, live public data, player prop values, final score projections and so much more. Scroll down to take a look at today's NBA player prop values you should take advantage of, coupled with exclusive sportsbook offers.
Grab BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best NBA bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NFL, NHL and NCAA basketball games! Start your free trial today!
Tyrese Haliburton Over 2.5 First Quarter Assists (+100, DraftKings)
Haliburton averages 2.8 first quarter assists per game (4th in NBA) and averages 19.7 potential assists per game, which leads the NBA. Over his last five games before the All-Star break, he recorded an average of 3.8 first quarter assists per game and this entire Pacers offense runs through him. Opposing teams have run the pick-and-roll against the Celtics an average of 21.9 possessions per game this season (4th-most in NBA) and the C’s have allowed 20.4 points per game on the pick-and-roll (3rd-most).
Zach Collins Over 0.5 Made Threes (-108, Caesars)
Since taking on a more prominent role within San Antonio’s offense before the All-Star break, Collins has made at least one three in five consecutive games and will likely see a solid amount of volume from beyond the arc once again in this matchup. With Jakob Poeltl gone, Collins should see 30ish minutes on a nightly basis and I love the price. The Mavericks have allowed 29.4 points per game on spot-up attempts (7th-most), so I love Collins’ potential of knocking one deep ball down.
Nikola Jokic Over 44.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (-110, BetMGM)
Averaging a ridiculous 24.7 points, 11.5 rebounds and 10.1 assists (46.3 PRA) on the year, the question is simple: should he exceed or fall short of his average game performance against the Cavs? In his first matchup against Cleveland back on January 6, he had 28 points, 15 boards and 10 dimes in a dominant 53 PRA stat line. Give me the value here as the big man continues his quest towards three consecutive MVP awards.
James Harden Under 11.5 Assists (-110, PointsBet)
Harden might be the best pick-and-roll ball-handler the NBA has ever seen, but draws the toughest matchup possible against the Grizzlies on Thursday. Memphis has allowed just 0.81 points per pick-and-roll (best in NBA) on an average of 18.6 plays per game. A lot has to go right to rack up 12-plus assists and there isn’t enough of a gap between Harden’s potential assists and actual assists lately to make me feel comfortable about taking the over.
P.J. Tucker Over 0.5 Made Threes (-110, PointsBet)
While Jaren Jackson Jr. will likely spend some time on Joel Embiid, it seems relatively likely that he will get Tucker's assignment for a decent chunk of minutes in order to avoid foul trouble. At this point in his career, Tucker typically camps out in the corner on offense, but has been relatively effective when given space beyond the arc. He's knocked down a three in four of his last six contests and since he will want to draw Jackson Jr. (the NBA's best shot-blocker) away from the paint, I could even see him knocking down a couple.
LeBron James Over 27.5 Points (-107, BetRivers)
LeBron called the last games of LA’s regular season some of the “23 of the most important” contests of his career. King James dropped 31 points on 12-of-26 shooting in his first meeting against the Warriors back in October and is averaging an even 30.0 this season. He went over this mark in eight of his last 13 games before the All-Star break and I expect him to come out firing in the hopes of starting a run alongside his new teammates.
Damian Lillard Under 35.5 Points (-111, FanDuel)
Lillard may be averaging 36.1 points per game during the month of February but he’s scored an average of 10.8 points per contest at the free throw line. He’s also taken just 21.6 field goals per game. To get over this number, he will need to be very efficient, take a high volume of shot attempts and capitalize at the charity stripe. I’ll take the under and hope Dame Time doesn’t happen.
Domantas Sabonis Over 13.5 Rebounds (+100, FanDuel)
No Jusuf Nurkic means the Blazers are going to play very small tonight. Before the All-Star break, Anthony Davis pulled down 20 boards against Portland and I think Sabonis has the same type of elite upside on the glass tonight.
Jonas Valanciunas Double-Double (+115, DraftKings)
Valanciunas is averaging 13.8 points and 11.2 rebounds in the month of February and has racked up four double-doubles in six games. Back on November 30, he posted a 16-point, 13-rebound double-double and will be relied upon to produce again with Zion Williamson out and Larry Nance Jr. dealing with an injury. Jo-Val has burned me time and time again due to his tendency to get in foul trouble, but remember that this is a revenge game for him since he spent the first six and a half years of his career in Toronto!
Paolo Banchero Under 21.5 Points (-124, Betrivers)
Over his last 19 games, Banchero has finished under 20.5 points 14 different times, including in four of the last five contests before the All-Star break. The last time he faced the Pistons, he went just 4-of-12 shooting for 15 points back on December 28 and is in an offense with a surprisingly-high number of mouths to feed alongside Markelle Fultz, Franz Wagner, Cole Anthony, Jalen Suggs, Wendell Carter Jr. and others.
Walker Kessler Over 11.5 Rebounds (+105, BetMGM)
The Thunder have allowed 16.02 rebounds per game to opposing centers per game (5th-most in NBA) and Kessler recorded 14 and 15 boards in two of his three games heading into the break. He’s gone over 11.5 boards five of his last seven times playing over 30 minutes and I expect that to happen again against an OKC squad that’s allowed an NBA-high 55.8 boards per game on the road this season. Give me the plus-money.