NBA Best Bets For Wednesday, March 1

Today's NBA Best Bets

Plenty of NBA action today, which means another day of tough decisions for bettors. To help you make the best bets today, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite NBA bets below using key trends, data and picks from the BetQL NBA model.

One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA Model is on fire since the All-Star break, going 156-99 (61%) on all picks in the last six days for a quick $2,010 return on $100 bets! Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's NBA best bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NHL, soccer and NCAA basketball games! Start your free trial today!

Kate Constable: Suns-Hornets o229

This number feels too low to me, so I am going to play the over. Both teams have scored at least 117 points in seven of their last 10 games combined. Charlotte has also played at the fastest pace in the league over its last five games and ranks 12th in offensive efficiency over that span. I know LaMelo Ball is out, which might slow them down a little, but the Hornets are still a team that likes to score in transition. They’re top 10 in points off turnovers and fast-break points this season. Kevin Durant is also making his debut with Phoenix tonight. He’s going to bring even more scoring to an already efficient offense. This number is moving up fast, so grab it on Caesars at 229 before it goes up more, and take advantage of their generous welcome offer while you're at it!

Matt Horner: Terry Rozier u5.5 Assists (+112, FanDuel)

Rozier hasn’t been passing the ball much lately, so this number seems a little high to me. He’s averaging just 3.8 assists over his last five games, and hasn’t gone over this mark in any of those contests. I’ll take a shot that he goes under again tonight, especially if he's shouldering more of the scoring load with Ball out. There's great value on this number at FanDuel, which also has an awesome signup bonus below!

Dan Karpuc: Grizzlies -9.5 at Rockets

The Rockets are an utter embarrassment and I’d assume that a team consisting of the best G-League players would beat them right now. Both of these teams are on the second half of back-to-backs and that’s even more of a reason to fade Houston. The Rockets have gone 2-7 ATS and have gotten outscored by an average of 14.1 points per contest on the second half of back-to-backs this season. They also own the league’s least efficient offense and second-least efficient defense. Houston is a complete mess right now and I expect the Grizzlies to use their depth to coast to an easy win and cover. BetMGM still has Grizzlies -9.5 for -115, but that won't last long, so grab it fast and use the welcome offer below!

Lucy Burdge: Celtics -5 vs. Cavaliers

The Cavaliers have had a rough time covering on the road this year, going 12-17 ATS after failing to cover in the last two away games. Plus, they are just 3-9 ATS as road underdogs. The Celtics, meanwhile, are 34-28 ATS this season, 31-27 ATS as the favorite and 18-13 ATS at home. I like the Celtics to cover -5, and you can still get this line at -108 at FanDuel, along with a great welcome offer below!

Brad Pinkerton: 76ers-Heat +400 One-Game Parlay

BetMGM NBA OGP Insurance Play of the Day

If you're not playing BetMGM's NBA OGP Insurance promo yet, you're leaving money on the table. Opt in to the promo and place a four-leg (minimum) NBA one-game parlay with at least +400 odds; if your OGP loses by one leg, you'll get your stake back in a free bet up to $25 -- and you can take advantage of this promo once every day there's an NBA game!

The new +400 odds requirement makes this much harder, but we've hit a couple of these already using the strategy of "middling" the alt total and alt spreads for each team to increase our chances of getting the insurance if the OGP doesn't hit. Also, DO NOT play these OGPs without the promo, as the insurance is the only reason these bets are valuable over time.

Here is my play for today. You can adjust each leg to your liking and apply this strategy to any NBA game, any night.

76ers-Heat o205.5
76ers-Heat u222.5
76ers +7.5
Heat +7.5
OGP odds: +400

Join BetMGM to start taking advantage of their daily OGP insurance promos across NBA, NHL and EPL/UCL. New BetMGM customers also get a risk-free first bet up to $1,000 using the offer below!

MORE NBA: TODAY’S BETTING GUIDE | TOP PLAYER PROPS | UPSET ALERTS!

Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best NBA bets, including player props, plus what the model is projecting for every NHL, soccer and NCAA basketball game this week! Start your free trial today!