Top MLB Insights For White Sox at Orioles

All of the betting trends and BetQL model insights you need to know

Tonight, the Baltimore Orioles (63-58) host the Chicago White Sox (62-60) in the first contest of their three-game series. Every game matters from this point forward, as the O’s are just 2.5 games out of the third American League Wild Card spot while the White Sox find themselves 4.0 games back. You can see all of our best bets above, as AL Cy Young candidate Dylan Cease (12-5, 2.09 ERA) will take on Baltimore’s Austin Voth (3-1, 4.86 ERA).

Take a look at some of the most important historical betting trends leading up to first pitch.

  • The Orioles have gone 42-16 against the run line at home this season, including 20-5 against teams with winning records, 37-11 versus AL teams with an OBP of .330 or worse, and 36-11 versus AL teams with a batting average of .265 or worse.

  • The White Sox are 5-45 (.100) straight up when allowing five or more runs this season, the 2nd-worst mark in MLB (league average: .201). 

  • Dylan Cease has hit the earned runs under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.90 units, 54% ROI).

  • Baltimore has also gone 24-10 straight up at home versus a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits per start (+19.15 units, 56.3% ROI). Cease has allowed 4.1 hits per start this year.

  • The White Sox are batting .368 in hitter’s counts since the start of last season, the best mark in MLB (league average: .338). But, they’ve drawn the lowest rate of walks (6%) in over 3,600 plate appearances against right-handed pitchers this season (league average: 8%). 

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