The Cleveland Guardians (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Tuesday with first pitch scheduled for 4:07 p.m. ET. The Yankees are betting favorites with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125) and the Over/Under at 7 total runs. So far this season, the Guardians are 96-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 74-92 ATS.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
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Aaron Civale: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has 5 three-pitch strikeouts this month (1 games) — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Aaron Civale’s K:BB ratio is 21.0 (21/1) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.4 — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .592 (74 Total Bases / 125 ABs) on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (12/21) against Aaron Civale — tied for 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 92nd Percentile.
Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .113 (8-for-71) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .162 (72-for-444) against Nestor Cortes’ fastball since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (13-for-110) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has a strikeout rate of 50% (12 SO in 24 PAs) this month (1 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians are 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 14-9 (.609) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 21-122 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .342 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians hitters have 94 extra-base hits out of 349 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,159 strikeouts in 6,298 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 458 walks in 4,623 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 70% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 351 walks in 3,449 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 25 of 480 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 435 of 5,989 batters (7%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 47% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
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