MLB Playoffs: Phillies vs. Braves NLDS Game 2 Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets

Phillies vs. Braves NLDS Game 2 Odds & Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies (+115) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-140) for Game 2 of the NLDS on Wednesday with first pitch scheduled for 4:35 p.m. ET in Atlanta. The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150) and the total at 7.5 runs for the game. So far this season, the Phillies are 90-75 ATS, while the Braves are 83-80 ATS.

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 49 away games (+19.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 48 of his last 81 games (+14.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 49 away games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 38 of his last 76 games (+11.75 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 79 of his last 112 games (+20.35 Units / 10% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+16.45 Units / 44% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 85 of his last 151 games (+15.35 Units / 9% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+14.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 44 of his last 71 games (+12.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 137 games (+26.67 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 78 of their last 113 games (+23.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games at home (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 85-80 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 0.79% ROI).

• 90-75 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.25% ROI
• 83-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.27% ROI
• 76-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.15 Units / -7.83% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 83-80 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -3.17% ROI).

• 101-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.85 Units / 3.91% ROI
• 81-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.41% ROI
• 74-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.95 Units / -8.38% ROI

Zack Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,718/3,886) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (192 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH against his fastballs since the start of last season (610 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 90.3

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (436/1,007) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Wright: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (149/240) against Kyle Wright this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (275/501) against Kyle Wright this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.

Kyle Wright has induced opposing hitters to ground into 26 double plays in 145 opportunities (18%) since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (108/188) against Kyle Wright in two-strike counts this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 95th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Phillies are 14-57 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Phillies are 72-5 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Phillies are 47-34 (.580) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Phillies are 11-58 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Braves are 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 36-5 (.878) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Braves are 90-22 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Braves are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters are slugging .535 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.

The Phillies are batting .264 against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .336 (1,779 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Phillies hitters are slugging .496 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .449.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have an OPS of .837 (1,216 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

Braves hitters are slugging .444 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Braves hitters are slugging .486 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .383.

Braves hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH since the start of last season (7,922 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Phillies pitchers have walked 186 of 2,874 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (122.4 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.3).

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