MLB Playoffs: Guardians vs. Yankees ALDS Game 2 Odds, Prediction & Player Prop Bets

Guardians vs. Yankees ALDS Game 2 Odds & Prediction

The Cleveland Guardians (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-140) on Thursday with first pitch scheduled for 7:37 p.m. ET. The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165) and the Over/Under at 6 total runs for the game. So far this season, the Guardians are 94-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 73-90 ATS.

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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 36 away games (+15.60 Units / 41% ROI)
• Austin Hedges has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.65 Units / 54% ROI)
• Austin Hedges has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 52% ROI)
• Austin Hedges has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.05 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Aaron Hicks has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 80% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 87 of their last 146 games (+25.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 away games (+15.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 away games (+13.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 59 away games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+8.55 Units / 13% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 76 games at home (+17.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.65 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.10 Units / 23% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 86-79 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 2.23% ROI).

• 94-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.8 Units / 9.93% ROI
• 75-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.9 Units / -7.66% ROI
• 81-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -0.85% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 73-90 against the Run Line (-19.15 Units / -10.09% ROI).

• 100-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 0.14% ROI
• 76-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -14 Units / -7.83% ROI
• 82-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -1.11% ROI

Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting .387 (12-for-31) against Shane Bieber — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — sixth Percentile.

Shane Bieber has located his fastball away 57% of the time (560/990) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (89/266) against Shane Bieber on fastballs since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Shane Bieber has allowed a slugging percentage of just .155 (41 Total Bases / 265 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 54% of the time (538/990) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

19 of Nestor Cortes’ 58 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 98th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 55% of the time (903/1,658) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 61% of the time (273/447) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Guardians are 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Guardians are 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Guardians are 14-10 (.583) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 47-35 (.573) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Yankees are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

Guardians hitters have just 808 strikeouts in 4,625 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have just 1,141 strikeouts in 6,213 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Guardians are batting .293 on changeups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have drawn 162 walks in 1,549 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.230 (1,113 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.064.

Yankees hitters have drawn 351 walks in 3,449 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 890 walks in 8,783 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 440 of 6,043 batters (7%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 90 of 1,475 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Guardians pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.1 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 47% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

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