The New York Yankees (-115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-105) on Saturday with first pitch scheduled for 7:37 p.m. ET. The Yankees are betting favorites with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155) and the Over/Under at 6.5 total runs. So far this season, the Yankees are 100-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 87-79 ATS.
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 73-91 against the Run Line (-20.15 Units / -10.56% ROI).
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 87-79 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 2.69% ROI).
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Luis Severino: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Luis Severino this season is 380.5 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 397.8
Opponents are hitless in 20 AB’s against Luis Severino this month (1 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .196 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .114 (23-for-201) against Luis Severino when ahead in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .191 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed an OBP of just .048 (21 PA’s) this month (1 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — 100th Percentile.
Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (173/514) against Triston McKenzie this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (63/195) against Triston McKenzie in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has allowed an OBP of just .251 (761 PA’s) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 93rd Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .197 (127-for-646) against Triston McKenzie since the start of last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 94th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Yankees are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians are 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 47-35 (.573) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 162 walks in 1,549 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 351 walks in 3,449 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 465 walks in 4,666 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 125 walks in 1,226 PA’s (10%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 811 strikeouts in 4,643 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .343 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians hitters have just 1,149 strikeouts in 6,257 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 47% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have won 54% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 447 of 6,086 batters (7%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 90 of 1,485 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 1,126 of 14,230 batters (8%) since the start of 2020 — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
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