Tampa Bay Rays vs

Washington Nationals Prediction

The Washington Nationals are 1-3 at home this season and the Tampa Bay Rays are 1-0 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Chad Kuhl has a 36% chance of a QS and Josh Fleming a 33% chance. If Chad Kuhl has a quality start the Nationals has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 54%. If Josh Fleming has a quality start the Rays has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Joey Meneses who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Randy Arozarena who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 67% chance of winning.