Philadelphia Phillies vs

Washington Nationals Prediction

The Washington Nationals are 28-27 at home this season and the Philadelphia Phillies are 22-32 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals' starter Paolo Espino is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies' starter Chase Anderson. Paolo Espino has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chase Anderson has a 34% chance of a QS. If Paolo Espino has a quality start the Nationals has a 61% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 52%. In Chase Anderson quality starts the Phillies win 64%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 2.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 60% chance of winning.