Atlanta Braves vsWashington Nationals Prediction
The Washington Nationals are 1-0 at home this season and the Atlanta Braves are 0-4 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Erick Fedde has a 30% chance of a QS and Max Fried a 30% chance. If Erick Fedde has a quality start the Nationals has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 58%. If Max Fried has a quality start the Braves has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 2.42 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 68% chance of winning.