New York Yankees vsToronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Toronto Blue Jays are 43-32 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Yankees who are 38-36 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jose Berrios has a 42% chance of a QS and Jameson Taillon a 43% chance. If Jose Berrios has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 59%. If Jameson Taillon has a quality start the Yankees has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 50%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Alejandro Kirk who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 55% chance of winning.