Houston Astros vs

Texas Rangers Prediction

The Houston Astros are 5-4 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 1-5 at home. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Matt Bush has a 51% chance of a QS and Framber Valdez a 52% chance. If Matt Bush has a quality start the Rangers has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 44%. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.8 and he has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 60%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Nate Lowe who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 71% chance of winning.