Washington Nationals vsTampa Bay Rays Prediction
The Tampa Bay Rays are 18-8 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 10-14 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays' starter Peter Fairbanks is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals' starter Austin Voth. Peter Fairbanks has a 38% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Austin Voth has a 25% chance of a QS. If Peter Fairbanks has a quality start the Rays has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 61%. In Austin Voth quality starts the Nationals win 68%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Brandon Lowe who averaged 2.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 3.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 46% chance of winning.