Oakland Athletics vs

Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Oakland Athletics are 3-3 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 4-2 at home. The Athletics have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Athletics' starter Cole Irvin is forecasted to have a better game than Rays' starter Josh Fleming. Cole Irvin has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Josh Fleming has a 42% chance of a QS. If Cole Irvin has a quality start the Athletics has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 59%. In Josh Fleming quality starts the Rays win 65%. He has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Josh Lowe who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 46% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Kevin Smith who averaged 4.72 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 58% chance of winning.