Miami Marlins vsTampa Bay Rays Prediction
The Tampa Bay Rays are 49-29 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 24-49 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays' starter Shane McClanahan is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins' starter Sandy Alcantara. Shane McClanahan has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sandy Alcantara has a 48% chance of a QS. If Shane McClanahan has a quality start the Rays has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.3 and he has a 57% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 57%. In Sandy Alcantara quality starts the Marlins win 66%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Ji-Man Choi who averaged 2.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Nick Fortes who averaged 3.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 52% chance of winning.