Miami Marlins vs

Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays are 13-9 at home this season and the Miami Marlins are 8-10 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Shane McClanahan has a 61% chance of a QS and Pablo Lopez a 62% chance. If Shane McClanahan has a quality start the Rays has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.8 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 53%. If Pablo Lopez has a quality start the Marlins has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jazz Chisholm who averaged 1.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 62% chance of winning.