Atlanta Braves vs

St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

The St. Louis Cardinals are 2-1 at home this season and the Atlanta Braves are 2-1 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals starter Jake Woodford is forecasted to have a better game than Braves starter Charlie Morton. Jake Woodford has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Charlie Morton has a 47% chance of a QS. If Jake Woodford has a quality start the Cardinals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 61%. In Charlie Morton quality starts the Braves win 66%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Austin Riley who averaged 2.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 64% chance of winning.