Atlanta Braves vs

San Diego Padres Prediction

The San Diego Padres are solid favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres' starter Joe Musgrove is forecasted to have a better game than Braves' starter Charlie Morton. Joe Musgrove has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Charlie Morton has a 35% chance of a QS. If Joe Musgrove has a quality start the Padres has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.8 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 57%. In Charlie Morton quality starts the Braves win 60%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Javier Guerra who averaged 3.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 76% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Matt Olson who averaged 1.84 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 61% chance of winning.