Arizona Diamondbacks vs

San Diego Padres Prediction

The San Diego Padres are 3-2 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Arizona Diamondbacks who are 2-3 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres starter Yu Darvish is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen. Yu Darvish has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zac Gallen has a 46% chance of a QS. If Yu Darvish has a quality start the Padres has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.1 and he has a 57% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 65%. In Zac Gallen quality starts the Diamondbacks win 58%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Matt Carpenter who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Gabriel Moreno who averaged 1.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 50% chance of winning.