Washington Nationals vs

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 1-1 at home this season and the Washington Nationals are 2-1 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. JT Brubaker has a 49% chance of a QS and Joan Adon a 45% chance. If JT Brubaker has a quality start the Pirates has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 61%. If Joan Adon has a quality start the Nationals has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 2.55 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Juan Soto who averaged 2.56 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 57% chance of winning.