Los Angeles Dodgers vs

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 9-6 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 6-7 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers' starter Tony Gonsolin is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates' starter Bryse Wilson. Tony Gonsolin has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bryse Wilson has a 48% chance of a QS. If Tony Gonsolin has a quality start the Dodgers has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 64%. In Bryse Wilson quality starts the Pirates win 62%. He has a 7% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is KeBryan Hayes who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 50% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 71% chance of winning.