Los Angeles Dodgers vs

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are 10-10 at home this season and the Los Angeles Dodgers are 10-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Ranger Suarez has a 43% chance of a QS and Julio Urias a 41% chance. If Ranger Suarez has a quality start the Phillies has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.7 and he has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 54%. If Julio Urias has a quality start the Dodgers has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 57%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 62% chance of winning.