Colorado Rockies vs

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are 4-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 4-1 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies' starter Kyle Gibson is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies' starter Kyle Freeland. Kyle Gibson has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Freeland has a 40% chance of a QS. If Kyle Gibson has a quality start the Phillies has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 68%. In Kyle Freeland quality starts the Rockies win 54%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Nick Castellanos who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Connor Joe who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 51% chance of winning.