Seattle Mariners vs

Oakland Athletics Prediction

The Seattle Mariners are 41-33 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Oakland Athletics who are 23-49 at home. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners' starter George Kirby is forecasted to have a better game than Athletics' starter Adrian Martinez. George Kirby has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Adrian Martinez has a 43% chance of a QS. If George Kirby has a quality start the Mariners has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.4 and he has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 61%. In Adrian Martinez quality starts the Athletics win 66%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Sean Murphy who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Julio Rodriguez who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 76% chance of winning.