Los Angeles Angels vs

Oakland Athletics Prediction

The Oakland Athletics are 4-11 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 10-5 on the road this season. The Athletics have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Athletics' starter Paul Blackburn is forecasted to have a better game than Angels' starter Jhonathan Diaz. Paul Blackburn has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jhonathan Diaz has a 46% chance of a QS. If Paul Blackburn has a quality start the Athletics has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 58%. In Jhonathan Diaz quality starts the Angels win 60%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Kevin Smith who averaged 4.42 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 59% chance of winning.