Cleveland Guardians vs

Oakland Athletics Prediction

The Cleveland Guardians are 4-1 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Oakland Athletics who are 1-3 at home. The Guardians have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians starter Shane Bieber is forecasted to have a better game than Athletics starter JP Sears. Shane Bieber has a 71% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while JP Sears has a 52% chance of a QS. If Shane Bieber has a quality start the Guardians has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.4 and he has a 65% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 66%. In JP Sears quality starts the Athletics win 54%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Seth Brown who averaged 1.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 20% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 78% chance of winning.