Toronto Blue Jays vs

New York Yankees Prediction

The New York Yankees are 3-3 at home this season and the Toronto Blue Jays are 2-1 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Luis Severino has a 53% chance of a QS and Kevin Gausman a 53% chance. If Luis Severino has a quality start the Yankees has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 55%. If Kevin Gausman has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 60% chance of winning.