Philadelphia Phillies vs

New York Yankees Prediction

The New York Yankees are 3-1 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 0-4 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Domingo German is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies starter Matthew Strahm. Domingo German has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matthew Strahm has a 35% chance of a QS. If Domingo German has a quality start the Yankees has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 63%. In Matthew Strahm quality starts the Phillies win 65%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Trea Turner who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 57% chance of winning.