Cleveland Guardians vs

New York Yankees Prediction

The New York Yankees are 42-29 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cleveland Indians who are 36-38 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees' starter Gerrit Cole is forecasted to have a better game than Indians' starter Eli Morgan. Gerrit Cole has a 66% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Eli Morgan has a 31% chance of a QS. If Gerrit Cole has a quality start the Yankees has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.5 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 73%. In Eli Morgan quality starts the Indians win 52%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 52% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 43% chance of winning.