Cleveland Guardians vsNew York Yankees Prediction
The New York Yankees are 58-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 47-36 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees\' starter Jameson Taillon is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians\' starter Aaron Civale. Jameson Taillon has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Aaron Civale has a 35% chance of a QS. If Jameson Taillon has a quality start the Yankees has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 67%. In Aaron Civale quality starts the Guardians win 63%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Will Brennan who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 55% chance of winning.