Baltimore Orioles vsNew York Yankees Prediction
The New York Yankees are 15-7 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 6-14 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees' starter Jordan Montgomery is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles' starter Bruce Zimmermann. Jordan Montgomery has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bruce Zimmermann has a 40% chance of a QS. If Jordan Montgomery has a quality start the Yankees has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 71%. In Bruce Zimmermann quality starts the Orioles win 52%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 52% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 82% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Austin Hays who averaged 1.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 45% chance of winning.