Cleveland Guardians vs

Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Minnesota Twins are 33-38 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Indians who are 33-36 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins' starter Joe Ryan is forecasted to have a better game than Indians' starter Triston McKenzie. Joe Ryan has a 68% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Triston McKenzie has a 44% chance of a QS. If Joe Ryan has a quality start the Twins has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.3 and he has a 60% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 65%. In Triston McKenzie quality starts the Indians win 57%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Josh Donaldson who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 1.71 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 25% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 57% chance of winning.