New York Mets vs

Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Milwaukee Brewers are 0-1 at home this season and the New York Mets are 4-1 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Wade Miley is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter Max Scherzer. Wade Miley has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Max Scherzer has a 40% chance of a QS. If Wade Miley has a quality start the Brewers has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 54%. In Max Scherzer quality starts the Mets win 65%. He has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is William Contreras who averaged 1.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 68% chance of winning.