Philadelphia Phillies vs

Miami Marlins Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies' starter Kyle Gibson is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins' starter Sandy Alcantara. Kyle Gibson has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sandy Alcantara has a 48% chance of a QS. If Kyle Gibson has a quality start the Phillies has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 59%. In Sandy Alcantara quality starts the Marlins win 61%. He has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Garrett Cooper who averaged 1.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryson Stott who averaged 4.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 59% chance of winning.